looks to me like it’s punching through the NE quadrant and providing lift to thunderstorms forming there, and that some lift is also getting thrown from the center as indicated by the lightning drifting a bit from the center
weather modelology is horse racing for nerds and that’s why it’s so entertaining when a model everyone calls “Goofus” scoops one for no apparent reason
no reason to hurry things, bump the totals Saturday if model consensus continues coalescing
this was a difficult pregnancy and when the GFS is the one delivering the baby you don’t rush it out of the NICU