Jump to content

DDweatherman

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,630

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Yep, and it is a bit colder. I appreciated 12z for what we’re looking for here.
  2. DDweatherman
    Not a met but fortunately that high of a nose 750-800mb can allow refreezing of droplets in time for sleet to be the ptype. Lower noses around 900mb don’t allow that.
  3. DDweatherman
    Randy’s right, looks like we’re not bleeding in the wrong direction for Euro. 12z suite stopped that for the most part, and several models going back in the right direction.
  4. DDweatherman
    Love seeing it trend south with the big totals west of the apps as well.
  5. DDweatherman
    100%. Glad it made the other positive changes, moved snow totals south and did get wetter.
  6. DDweatherman
    Part of the reason I’m rather bullish on this getting a little colder and not giving a ton of credibility to the NAM runs thermals. For one, an incredibly anomalous airmass. Two, the wave and the LP aren’t that intense to flood the ML’s with a crazy warm nose. I think the cold will fight back here.
  7. DDweatherman
    I like this window, think we’ll be tracking something. i liked this weekends window 12-15 days out and that’s turning out ok, lets get on a heater.
  8. DDweatherman
    Yeah I’m gonna need a final GFS snow map. I already see 2+ FEET in Alabama lol.
  9. DDweatherman
    Post snow map if you could? So I can send to my wife and she’ll think it’s for this weekend.
  10. DDweatherman
    Well the UK is definitely in the colder camp, snow down to NC still Sunday morning.
  11. DDweatherman
    As cavi posted above, it was actually a notable move in the gfs direction. We need those kinds of trends down the home stretch.
  12. DDweatherman
    We are certainly rooting for the GFS in our necks, it’s how this can produce close to memorable #’s for us. 15+ is not out of the question with a few minor changes overall.
  13. DDweatherman
    GGEM is a beatdown for a lot of folks here. 8+ for metro areas thanks to a big thump. Bit colder as well.
  14. DDweatherman
    Thank you sir; both are pretty wet. Good to see, give us the QPF first and foremost, especially in the front end piece. That’s how we all win
  15. DDweatherman
    I actually agree with this. I find they’re meeting in the middle and have moved towards each other since yesterday, including some of the aspects where the Euro has moved more towards the GFS (snow on the backside of the storm).
  16. DDweatherman
    Can someone post a total QPF map for the 12z runs, at least NAM and GFS? GFS seemed pretty damn wet.
  17. DDweatherman
    A second reply to say the coastal is closer to the coast and the models are trending in the gfs direction of giving a change back to snow for some and adding several inches, it’s at least something to watch.
  18. DDweatherman
    Yeah I know my BY can afford a little wiggle room vs metros obviously, but I am okay with everyone winning and getting 10+ OTG and rolling dice from there; see where the chips fall. RGEM thumped super hard at 12z too.
  19. DDweatherman
    I agree in some ways, especially since no one’s complaining if we get a 2014 10-14” thump
  20. DDweatherman
    That is exactly what we want to see, and hopefully models respond as such.
  21. DDweatherman
    Does anyone have the total QPF map from the nam?
  22. DDweatherman
    I think somewhere in between for now sounds the “most” accurate. Nam definitely was closer to keeping the sleet lines SE especially towards the back half of the storm. If it didn’t shoot the ML warm nose northward so quickly this run, the totals would have looked similar to the FV or at the very least a lot closer.
  23. DDweatherman
    I agree, it’s a product of the shifts that @psuhoffman shared. Again; there were positives for sure.
  24. DDweatherman
    I’m taking the positives out of it, because I agree it was a fair bit better in a lot of ways. This anomalous airmass is extremely impressive and I know warm air to tongues can easily screw the mid levels, but we don’t have a screaming jet sending in a firehouse here like we have sometimes to just send it all to shit.
  25. DDweatherman
    A lot of analysis for the 12z Nam at 48 hrs…cycle through the last 6 runs at h5 and surface and tell me you’d make a forecast off it?
×
×
  • Create New...