DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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We would be better off letting them stay separate and let the tpv space back to the NW and heights to rise out in front of the s/s wave wouldn’t we?
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It would really only be a ULL if the streams phased and then it gets energized by the s/s for a pass that would reinforce snow. By itself it’s as useful as @winter_warlock’s ex wife
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Eric Webb is an asshat, just my opinion.
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I’m not speaking for terp. What I’ll say is it may be, but we can’t go 1 forward 1 back with a really flat flow out front of the s/w, which was one issue with the 18z gfs
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I try not to complain sitting at 22” on the season. Definitely feel like it could have/should have been 40” but there were several events I got 1.5, 2, and the 7 I got a couple weeks ago where most here got an inch or less.
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I think that’s old days bias, and at longer leads. I tell you what, if it would focus on the northern piece of energy closer to the base of the h5 like the Nam did, that run would have been drastically better.
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I’d argue this run was better in that regard. It’s definitely something you’d need a “trend” towards, not gonna happen in 1 run…not at these leads
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Fixed
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You read em like happy Gilmore reads his putts. Gfs is hot ass this run, but 0z is when the trends start. “Fresh data”
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@TSSN+ is about as bad as Randy reading models coming out sometimes so there’s still hope here's to hoping Ralph put something in his drink
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The gfs is going over bermuda
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He’s hibernating. Please try another user
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@TSSN+ says he only takes gummies
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I don’t really expect any notable good trends if they’re gonna happen until 0z or after but let’s see what “happy” (subjective) hour has in store
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Honestly? Not that many noteworthy occasions lol. The storms it did are usually shit storms where we were expecting a middling level storm
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Not a lot of “knew” individuals in here these days.
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Can I ask you, if you’re thinking the Nam is onto something, and you’d be heartbroken if it was wrong…can I have some of that crack
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It’s usually wrong at 9 or 12 hours out so idk
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The key to this afternoon and tonight’s run is keeping it within reach if a trend ensued through tomorrow’s cycles
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I saw what amped said above about ridging upstream, but to be fair it was very flat relatively on the initial image. Not a huge trend there. id more attribute it to the more rounded tpv but a more positive/neutral tilt if anything. That and there being very little phase activity to YANK or TUG this N/W
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Yeah, scraff declined to be the creator. Who’s next in line???
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It’s crazy how miniscule downstream impacts can take somewhere from 0 to 12 in this. Models aren’t done moving
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That euro run sucked for a lot of the forum, but wasn’t far from something a lot different.
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Euro has big time totals on a sharp cutoff to much less. Something different about that run. I really expect a different solution on 18 or 0z runs, maybe vastly different than this mornings
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Me too, I don’t understand how the output ends up being that
