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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    An hour 48 model war with GEFS N/W and EPS a bit to the S/E, ops in between which aren't that far from each other in ground truth (evolution wise). QPF is still a big discrepancy.
  2. DDweatherman
    After the first couple hours when the low passes east of our longitude, I'd bet ratios would improve. That being said, 850's aren't necessarily bad for ratios better than 10:1.
  3. DDweatherman
    I'm not actually buying that shield. I think it'll be a decently wide QPF shield.
  4. DDweatherman
    AI is about .5 QPF for our neck of the woods. Good news is if the baseline is 3-5 with boom potential I’d lock that in
  5. DDweatherman
    For us, I like the direction the euro seems to be heading. I think the qpf shield will be broader and more GFS like. That should make a lot of folks happy.
  6. DDweatherman
    Eh I don’t 100% agree, juicier in max zone, s/w a bit better. Just a tighter shield. I don’t hate the run, think the swath will be wider
  7. DDweatherman
    Compromise camp still looks great to me
  8. DDweatherman
    Well here we are page 29 and needing 29 black from the euro
  9. DDweatherman
    10:1, Kuchera, or 86:1?
  10. DDweatherman
    I will say, the UK hasn't been awful lately, though it has had a tendency to be underamped rather than its old days of being over. The trend from 12z yday to 0z to 12z today is a major drying & de-amp. Don't know how much I care, but it is noticeable.
  11. DDweatherman
    I prefer checking the median over the mean.
  12. DDweatherman
    It's kinda like Trudeau for the longest time, his ass just wouldn't leave
  13. DDweatherman
    1-1.2" QPF in the backyard. So these numbers are basically 10:1. That's juiced as hell. The compromise camp is a crushing.
  14. DDweatherman
    Its noice sir.
  15. DDweatherman
    I can't help but LOL sometimes when the next message is oh shes a BEAUT clark
  16. DDweatherman
    The roulette wheel thing part 2? Maybe the dart board thing?
  17. DDweatherman
    Rgem is a little better with the rain snow line on 6z. Slightly more SE and totals not quite as outrageous, but still a big storm NW of the fall line.
  18. DDweatherman
  19. DDweatherman
    More important than the actual output as it’s likely over amped, I like the wideness of the swath of QPF. The more amped solutions mature the low a bit more by our latitude of course so that could be a contributing factor. However, there isn’t a shredder to the north that should result in one of our razor sharp cutoffs.
  20. DDweatherman
    I’d pay a substantial sum for the Ggem to verify verbatim. An IMBY Jack there
  21. DDweatherman
    Yes. The compromise camp looking good so far
  22. DDweatherman
    If the ravens do make the SB, there will be no doubt they earned it. Even given the Steelers struggles…a division rival then two road wins (assuming KC beats HOU) would be badass
  23. DDweatherman
    My big ask in this was to give me at least .3 QPF. I like the chances currently.
  24. DDweatherman
    Gfs always loves weird little transfers lol. Let’s see what the parent Trudeau model and crazy uncle have to say
  25. DDweatherman
    Yeah I don’t mind this run at all. Cold smoke, daytime snow with solid rates. Good spot for it to be now for a possible compromise.
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