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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. @stormtracker thoughts on me spinning up the next storm thread before the 12z models run or do we run with this until obs thread?
  2. Wouldn’t be so sure that max qpf stripe is overdone. Question might be where does it end up
  3. Gfs looks icon-ish with the dual maxima. Good .45-.5 up here then the 95 corridor .6+
  4. The euro needs to juice its ass up. The icon juicing tonight hopefully is a precursor to the euro doing the same
  5. You know one model has to be the red headed step child… the kit sounds excellent. Crazy as it sounds, I’ve never been able to do whiskey or bourbon. I do love me some gin. Beers are a rarity these days since I’ve been doing the gym again.
  6. I think he does that just because we both have grown up as longtime members oF the MA forum. He and I used to be in the weather business together. I love posting up here with my new PA brethren though
  7. Eh, it’s only concerning because it’s been the rock. The other models look more like the Canadian suite than they did say 3 days ago, but we kinda figured they would. We’re talking 10+ degree sfc temp differences rgem vs gfs or euro
  8. Can someone post icon kuchie? I’m enjoying beers before the varsity models show themselves
  9. I think the crew up here is all good with the AIFS, UK, Icon, and even the 3k and gfs are easy 4-6” events
  10. He was texting me about it, but I don’t think he posted. It’s great for everyone if you ask me
  11. The icon has really been juicing this up and it can be a drier model at times. The NW crew gets mashed but qpf almost doubled on 95. Could be the double maxima being shown
  12. Makes sense to just selectively post pieces of “guidance”
  13. I said I wish it went to 36 though as for the 12k,
  14. Really wish the 3k ran to like 36 hrs and the 12k would get decomm’d asap.
  15. There’s a good chance I won’t use the Hrrr as guidance 12 hours from this storm.
  16. I also like the UK swath for precip, not insanely amped like the Canadian suite. I’d blend UK, GFS, and AIFS at the moment I believe.
  17. I mean realistically I’d trade .6” QPF with cold thermals and maximize ratios over 1” QPF but 20 miles from the big drop off and 10:1’s
  18. Precip to begin in about 42 hours on some models
  19. Yeah it has a 993 over the chessie, no other model has a low in that spot, but also they don’t have the low that intense. ICON was about 2mb stronger w/the SLP vs 12z
  20. I’m with PSU. I want to see what the gfs shows here in a few but it moved a lot wetter and obviously a good bit NW overnight. The blend is probably a fall line and N/W theme
  21. Yeah I’d take the icon or 12z gfs output. Let’s see what 18z shows.
  22. Hey muhfuckas, get that football talk out of my thread. 29 black discussions only. go ravens
  23. I'm good with 3-5" baseline if you compromise the good and bad solutions for MBY. I'm good with that, and I'll be happier than a fly on shit if we hit the boom scenarios.
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