DDweatherman

It might be all we have left to give (or receive) in a few weeks. Ji might beat me to it though

There's a big difference between seeing a 1-3" of digital snow on those runs at different dates than hoping for a big coastal/significant event. That's not just semantics.

Desperate times call for desperate measures, no? Ji just declared winter over...again? We've been can kicking for how many weeks now? It would be fair to say its hard to be optimistic as this point since we've been in the Nina pattern of warm/wet to cold/dry as many years past have given us. Cold has been around this year, not almost no presence of a S/S. Trusting the GFS as poorly as it's performed this year (and even in past years when it had some successes) is a difficult proposition when its the only model showing what we need. That is more of a fact than an assumption or a statement out of left field.

Damn right haha. Randy has a suggestion box around here somewhere.

@WesternFringe & @ravensrule, I'm watching you boys and those weenie reactions on my last post. Let's watch and see how this one evolves before we start calling anyone a weenie. Ravens has 3" geared up for us all.

Euro looks like a step in the wrong direction. Tilt looks worse. Energy over the north central is interfering, and not ideal wave spacing. Respectfully, we're all in for disappointment waiting for the lousy GFS to lead and score a coup with one of these. Desperate times.

As you mentioned re the reading out in Reno, that is an extremely pumped ridge. Just need orientation and depth around the Mississippi and there could be something real.

Probably because it shows 2-4" on Saturday from that wave. You have to wonder if we prefer that to not exist re: wave spacing and the spiel around that.

lol do yourself a favor and go spend time doing something else rather than chasing non existent storms and feet of pattern.

Just being 100% honest, this type of set up doesn’t excite me at all. Has fail written all over it for us. Such a limited track record of winning hoping for these to work in our favor. Literally need everything to go right, when we already struggle to hit in perfect patterns.

Jealousy at an all time high even though I’ve done 2 of those myself. Been a few years!

You make a great point. Really is ALL about getting appreciable precip in the region... been a struggle for far too long.

I'm jealous. Part of me wanted to head out there for this, especially with the wife and kids out of town. I'm riding solo for a few days.

It doesn't matter, people enjoy the 4-6 hour rush. There's nothing like snow in our backyards. We wouldn't treasure it the way we do if we averaged 180" a year, it's all a part of the mentality. Having to drive 8 hours for it and then back after is definitely the worst part. The chases are awesome for sure, but that's why a chase like DCL on MLK a few years ago for 20+" 2 hrs from home is epic but easier.

2 times I've seen 4"+ in an hour in our region, 1/26/11 and the first 2/10 storm.

Exactly what I said…

First happy hour fantasy hecs at d10 or less of the season.

I mean…at least something’s there in the window we’ve been monitoring. i can tell you the gfs is producing a KU event this run.

I’m late on my reply. I meant that in no meteorological way. It was really just supporting my northern brethren in hopes that we get a miller A or a big hybrid low that blesses the masses later this winter!

Rooting for nyc to cash in so then we can all win come January.

You guys take this one, I’ll save my tracking hours for the anti-Webb pattern coming up after NY.

Go on….

Well said it worked, hey I’m first to admit I’m glad he’s looking dead wrong! Let’s start with a good pattern and hope it’s not just feet and feet of pattern lol

I wish there’d be some accountability for these social media personality Mets that can post knee jerk, baseless claims on twitter or Facebook. At least he called himself out, respect that. Next time…probably don’t call it a complete dud when we’ve seen far worse shit the blinds patterns at range.

Not buying Webb's latest. He had cold/blocking scenarios loaded up and ready to go. His science behind the logic is sound here in that we need change, but it's not curtains through February from what I'm seeing. To attribute this all to Nina when the actually ENSO state is so weak in that direction is also a bit incorrect.