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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Looks damn good, my yard is the purple spec
  2. Maybe I shouldn’t weight the GFS the way I was, but it seemed an outlier solution to be even when we were in the big dog totals
  3. Are you guys talking about the Tuesday storm? The euro has 6-8” for the LSV, UKMET pretty similar…
  4. The Ggem isn’t that impressive to me. It’s not south but it’s also dry.
  5. Honestly, I hear you. But people are allowed to do whatever they want. They can chase unicorns and 10” storms if that’s their MO. They’ll just be rarely satisfied or get to see those outcomes
  6. The GFS hopefully just doing crummy American model things like it usually does. However it’s been solid the last 2 weeks with our waves. That being said, concerning with the new dropsonde data being input with 0z.
  7. Don’t let that smoke in the house or your wife is firing your ass. Tell her it’s GFS time. You and the folks are hanging out
  8. is what you want to look for as a precursor to F words of the positive variety
  9. Let’s retrieve that ban screenshot. Remember when you said this way early in 18z lol.
  10. The good news is you’re almost always gonna be correct when you tell us if it’s good after the run comes out.
  11. Ji has great reviews here. Then maestro usually comes on with his laundry list of concerns 600 hours out from the storm.
  12. It’s more that there are many waves and discrete threat windows now. The train is at the station.
  13. The gfs has about 3 days of winter precip out of 4 this run. Next week would be something out of a movie
  14. Icon was better at 18z too. Maybe happy hour can be very happy today
  15. Isn’t Beethoven even above folks? @stormtracker
  16. 26-29 degree zr is also a different ballgame than the 30-32 variety. Even when we think we know what the zr and mixed bag events are gonna do they throw us curveballs.
  17. I’m really not sure it will play a huge role. Sure the gfs is a lot different in that it’s loaded up qpf wise but it’s more about the wavelengths and energy being consolidated. That’s where the differences arise. I think with that, if the euro had 1 consolidated wave the thermals would be a bit better.
  18. Looks like a high impact version of what we had today given the temp profiles
  19. Euro is looking impactful for this one now as was the GFS and RGEM.
  20. I’m gonna make a quasi-Ji statement. Up in my area we’ve had several 4-6” storms the last few years, including a couple last winter and a 4&7 Incher this year. The 7” a few weeks ago was awesome given the rates. I’m gonna big dog hunt this one at least for 6-10” which I think is very reachable. Getting 5” over 18 hours wouldn’t give as much excitement as 8 or 10 would. just give me the 12z gfs or the last Ai run
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