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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    I do think the line will slow a bit once it touches the ICC across MoCo. Then a slower progression northward from there.
  2. DDweatherman
    I think one things for sure based off that balloon, the surface isn’t going above freezing for us in N MD.
  3. DDweatherman
    I didn’t look at the euro @psuhoffman @Eskimo Joe, how is it for the northern folks? It has been bullish on our snow all along.
  4. DDweatherman
    Where are you located? Near Baltimore, correct? Congrats!
  5. DDweatherman
    I’m starting to be more of a believer in that band/swath. It definitely has the potential to tack on several inches as the column quickly cools and dendrite production is top notch.
  6. DDweatherman
    I’d estimate visibility between1/8 & 1/4mi in Westminster with swirling flakes growing in size. Rates probably 1.25-1.5”/hr with the wall of yellows moving in.
  7. DDweatherman
    It’s a crushing from your neck up to PSU out to the Winchester crew.
  8. DDweatherman
    Starting to POUR snow in Westminster now. Radar is impressive to say the least for the burbs crew and into Baltimore.
  9. DDweatherman
    I can see the isobars still looking favorable for us, NE winds and flow at 850 isn’t off the ocean just yet.
  10. DDweatherman
    Embiggening is a new one. Visibility creeping down here off 140 in Westminster. 26.6 degrees, little over 1/2”
  11. DDweatherman
    <1/4mi lol
  12. DDweatherman
    I should also note winds still out of the NNE/NE at the moment. You can even tell with the slightest bit of subsidence as the good returns move over us with them taking their time.
  13. DDweatherman
    I think we can really pile it up the next 5-6 hours and I’m willing to bet our column holds. There’s going to be 1-2” an hour rates with some places even besting that through 6PM.
  14. DDweatherman
    I’m thinking somewhere in between. The heavy rates are overcoming the warm nose at the moment all the way into ROA. Mesoanalysis running right on tap it not a bit colder than predicted at the mid levels, with surface temps running a degree or two below.
  15. DDweatherman
    Starting to stack up outside Westminster. Like Joe said, pay attention to the 700-850mb fronto page on SPC meso. If that verifies some of the maps Millville was talking about, it’ll be an electrifying afternoon for rates in a lot of spots.
  16. DDweatherman
    Lots of folks gotta love the HRRR for this afternoon. Basically 1-2” an hour rates north of the beltway into C MD and NW. fronto is increasing in the area and the low is starting to deepen off the NC/SC coast.
  17. DDweatherman
    I like where you are, especially with current trends on the nowcast/meso side. Primed for 10-15” there
  18. DDweatherman
    Snowing pretty good in Westminster, most things covered. 140 wasn’t too bad moments ago, side roads mainly covered already so could be a little slick. 27 degrees
  19. DDweatherman
    Here you go, correlation coefficient.
  20. DDweatherman
    I mean no denying the short term trends. That RGEM depiction is markedly different than even 6z
  21. DDweatherman
    That’s money Jay.
  22. DDweatherman
    I actually like the meso obs from SPC right now. Checking the various levels of temps and coupling that with obs in forum make me believe the HRRR won’t be completely out to lunch. The NAM, on the other hand, looks like it was off by quite a bit.
  23. DDweatherman
    Where’s @MillvilleWx, I’ll repost what he said overnight for us folks in the northern counties: “I'm gonna say it now. Someone north of I-70 between 20-00z is gonna see some absolutely insane snowfall. The 85H frontogen is beyond incredible for that area during that timeframe. This reminds me of some of the surprise overperformers in recent past with front end thumps.”
  24. DDweatherman
    And max-ing out the DGZ. Might even be at 12:1+ in that band with no defined warm nose.
  25. DDweatherman
    Light snow in Westminster has begun. 28 degrees
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