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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. 50/50 snow & sleet? You’re at the leading edge of that precip shield too if so.
  2. More and more optimistic about the euro being onto something for tonight seeing our winds veer to the north and the Radar blossoming to the south. That warm nose should be gone in the next hour or two for the favored spots as the low gets up to our latitude and wraps up as well. Closed h85 low right on top of us to help enhance some Precip returns.
  3. Called 5-8" here in our neck of the woods in northern Carroll. If the backend does anything like the Euro said, I'll barely bust low, otherwise its a pretty spot on forecast. Sitting at 7" after part 1.
  4. Changeover line on CC radar is heading east/NE through Luray at the moment. Behind it explains why we have snow reports on the 81 corridor. If that's the case, the column should support snow again before that slug moves in. @WxUSAFthoughts?
  5. Yeah, if I get another 5” here overnight consider this an awesome event. And that would put me at 12” total!
  6. That's good to hear. IF that stuff in SWVA makes it hear, makes me optimistic we can snow more without having to relay on vort snows swinging in overnight.
  7. Its a single stream shortwave which is a lot easier to flatten than someone that phases of course.
  8. Until now, which of course is too late. But you'll see the 850 line push east again in the next 2-3 hours.
  9. If that’s the case, expect us to do well with this pivot/backside vort this evening!
  10. @Eskimo Joe We are closed off at the mid levels, looks like 850 and 925 we're seeing closed circulations. Looks like they'll make a decent pass for us this evening.
  11. I think there will be some pretty good dynamics around and a relatively good h85 pass this evening if we can get the column right to tack on a few inches of powder.
  12. Hr 9 of the 21z HRRR has a nice band of moderate to heavy snow covering HGR-FDK-DMW. Would probably produce pretty good ratios in that band since the dynamics on the sounding are relatively impressive
  13. Precip in SWVA looks pretty well aimed at the CMD crew for later. Winds picking up with our low positioned nicely over VA beach/ORF.
  14. @Eskimo Joe or @psuhoffman This has to bold well for us, right?
  15. Yeah I think we’re good for 2-4” tonight. 7” before we went to sleet.
  16. Yeah right now it’s the heaviest and flake size is huge. Has to be over 2”/hr, watching it stack as I shovel.
  17. Definitely back in the 2”/hr stuff with the orange band moving over town.
  18. Hey, we had our fun in 09-10. Beat my friends to the NW cracking 20” in all 3 monsters and 30” in the Feb 5/6 storm. About a 90” winter that year.
  19. +SN continues in Westminster at 27 degrees. Up to around 6” so far. Thinking if we can hold off the sleet for another 2 hours we’ll crack 10 for the storm, especially if we tack on any extra tonight.
  20. Here’s the best place to be the next 2 hours. I think the mix line will go just south of Westminster and just N of Frederick down the corridor between 81 & 340.
  21. Snowing the heaviest it has all day in Westminster.
  22. Can report ++SN and 27 in Westminster. Around 4” OTG. Larger flakes mixed in with smaller flakes. A bit gusty at times as well. Probably bordering on 2”/hr rates.
  23. 2”+ rates an hour incoming for N MD with the 850 frontogenesis maxing out causing that deathband.
  24. We have 2-3 hours I believe. We could really pile up another 4-6” in that time.
  25. The best is yet to come for us. I’m betting there will be an hour or two we pick up 2” in that hour. Fronto continues to increase so the rates will be money from 3-5 if we can hold on to all snow.
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