More and more optimistic about the euro being onto something for tonight seeing our winds veer to the north and the Radar blossoming to the south. That warm nose should be gone in the next hour or two for the favored spots as the low gets up to our latitude and wraps up as well. Closed h85 low right on top of us to help enhance some Precip returns.
Called 5-8" here in our neck of the woods in northern Carroll. If the backend does anything like the Euro said, I'll barely bust low, otherwise its a pretty spot on forecast. Sitting at 7" after part 1.
Changeover line on CC radar is heading east/NE through Luray at the moment. Behind it explains why we have snow reports on the 81 corridor. If that's the case, the column should support snow again before that slug moves in. @WxUSAFthoughts?
That's good to hear. IF that stuff in SWVA makes it hear, makes me optimistic we can snow more without having to relay on vort snows swinging in overnight.
@Eskimo Joe We are closed off at the mid levels, looks like 850 and 925 we're seeing closed circulations. Looks like they'll make a decent pass for us this evening.
I think there will be some pretty good dynamics around and a relatively good h85 pass this evening if we can get the column right to tack on a few inches of powder.
Hr 9 of the 21z HRRR has a nice band of moderate to heavy snow covering HGR-FDK-DMW. Would probably produce pretty good ratios in that band since the dynamics on the sounding are relatively impressive
+SN continues in Westminster at 27 degrees. Up to around 6” so far. Thinking if we can hold off the sleet for another 2 hours we’ll crack 10 for the storm, especially if we tack on any extra tonight.
Here’s the best place to be the next 2 hours. I think the mix line will go just south of Westminster and just N of Frederick down the corridor between 81 & 340.
Can report ++SN and 27 in Westminster. Around 4” OTG. Larger flakes mixed in with smaller flakes. A bit gusty at times as well. Probably bordering on 2”/hr rates.
The best is yet to come for us. I’m betting there will be an hour or two we pick up 2” in that hour. Fronto continues to increase so the rates will be money from 3-5 if we can hold on to all snow.