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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    I also think we’re all optimistic about the pattern and mid week looking legit at day 4 leads.
  2. DDweatherman
    My bar is 2”, need a stats ladder. 2.5 makes 20 on the season
  3. DDweatherman
    This is getting uneventful if you wanted the exciting fast and furious snow. That’s for sure. Keep expectations in check. Thought we might amp further as well but can’t win em all. We’ll see what the ground truth is, Radar looks okay.
  4. DDweatherman
    It’s decent, good mix of all the models.
  5. DDweatherman
    Hard not to like the simplicity of that evolution with a solid feed of moisture into damn cold air.
  6. DDweatherman
    By no means am I expecting it, but this is usually when the NAM comes in more amped and weenies out.
  7. DDweatherman
    The euro is a sick run for mid-late week. We all love those types of events.
  8. DDweatherman
    Great point. I definitely agree that’s true. Mesoscale features especially in a fast moving, borderline event where rate dependencies play a role arent going to be picked up across the board thanks to the differing resolutions.
  9. DDweatherman
    Nothing really to cause a tight cutoff on that one on the NW side. Would tend to agree here. I like 3-5” for most. SE folks get there from better rates and we do via better thermals.
  10. DDweatherman
    Such nice disagreement not even 18 hrs before onset. Fun hobby we have.
  11. DDweatherman
    That started a nice run for us that went through March too.
  12. DDweatherman
    Headed to gym, someone post the euro when it’s out. 40 at home
  13. DDweatherman
    You can tell we’re in an okay pattern with snow expected tomorrow. Otherwise folks would be lighting this thread up with current models showing what they are. 12z gfs was nice, hope it gets more euro support
  14. DDweatherman
    I already like our odds for mid-week. We’re only 4.5 days out and the overrunning piece is a relatively “easier” way to score.
  15. DDweatherman
    Agreed. A lot of the meso models have had a secondary max out that way and thermals will be more favorable.
  16. DDweatherman
    Good map. Starting to think us in the N&W will do best as models have shown secondary banding here to go w/better thermals. Can compensate and accumulate even if rates aren’t crazy.
  17. DDweatherman
    This reminds me of that event we were supposed to get blitzed with rates early in the AM, couple years ago. Rates and intense banding didn’t really pan, and we got like 1.3” in Baltimore.
  18. DDweatherman
    Post less.
  19. DDweatherman
    I stopped paying attention on day 3 as I was in town for work. We’re there lots of places that picked up those totals? (outside the Catoctins folks)
  20. DDweatherman
    Do we have a new run of the HREF out recently?
  21. DDweatherman
    It also hasn’t been that bullish overall just yet. We’re waiting for that run tomorrow that does something silly.
  22. DDweatherman
    Oh yeah? Lemme see
  23. DDweatherman
    FDK to CAPE crushed.
  24. DDweatherman
    The thing is even if this lasts 6-9 hrs, there could be 4-6” in a 2-3 hr span.
  25. DDweatherman
    Meanwhile the ICON last run at 18z was a great hit and stretched this out to a 12 hr storm.
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