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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    We're getting pretty close to an all snow event being pretty likely in our neck of the woods.
  2. DDweatherman
    On this note, the column has seen nice improvements. If we got the euro thermals and gfs evolution... its 10” for a lot of folks.
  3. DDweatherman
    Randy; a 6” letdown? I mean I want to see the 1-2”/hr rates, so in that regard the euro could be better. Column ain’t bad for your neck though.
  4. DDweatherman
    We like this run. But I personally want to see 2”/hr rates, not get 5” of snow from 1/2”/he steady snow, we’ve gotten that already. I want the thumpiest of thumps. We’ve kept seeing these in models 48-72h out then watched rates/dynamics lessen.
  5. DDweatherman
    The euro is a beat down west of 95. Colder column for most, just a tad slower. Good evolution out in front. Euro tends to be the slightest bit slower in these scenarios, but we’re still bleeding in the RIGHT direction with regards to our column.
  6. DDweatherman
    I started a boob arse thread back in the day for one of our storms.
  7. DDweatherman
    Lol agreed, I would only use I 70/US 340/US 40, MD 26, US 50 for E/W identifiers. Maybe some others like I 95, MD 140 for diagonal regionals. Then N/S you can use plenty more (I 83, MD 2, US 15, etc.)
  8. DDweatherman
    Decent bit wetter in the corridor down into NVA again vs last run. More ice/sleet as a result
  9. DDweatherman
    Very icy NW of the metros, similar to 12z but slightest bit SE.
  10. DDweatherman
    Oh definitely, if anything it tells us to stay inside and not drive unless absolutely necessary.
  11. DDweatherman
    I’ll make a PSA since there are some that root for icing events. Check out video footage of Texas, and tell me you are rooting for ice. Just probably lost a dozen lives and dozens more seriously injured. This is a weather forum, but it’s just food for thought. And they didn’t even really get much accretion.
  12. DDweatherman
    You know people usually only remeber the negative busts. But there have been a decent amount of + busts (I'd say 40/60 ratio of boom/bust). When you add in boom/as forecasted/bust its probably 20/50/30 as a split.
  13. DDweatherman
    84 degrees currently, warm one. I’m sweating ohhh loc: Hard Rock Tampa, FL
  14. DDweatherman
    Well the kuchera maps have 15-20 SLR so there is that.
  15. DDweatherman
    It’s more often referred to as Bel Air South. But more so a community than a town.
  16. DDweatherman
    To the point where the GFS is now the snowiest model really.
  17. DDweatherman
    I’m not disagreeing 100%, but part of your logic is off. A weaker wave that causes lighter Precip would also be accompanied by less SW flow. Temps almost across the board look upper 20’s at most. Decent rates at all and it accumulates most places. edit to also say what Chris said about the subsidence is partially true as well. More uniform areas of Precip are to be expected, even if the overall scheme isn’t terribly heavy.
  18. DDweatherman
    With temps under 30 it would.
  19. DDweatherman
    Can’t say that’s a bad idea. The luck people will say we’re clicking though with the current set up...
  20. DDweatherman
    I started a few decent threads in my time that gave us accumulating snow as well. Proud to say lol
  21. DDweatherman
    I said few, small portions of the sub like parts of nova and smd, but also reductions in QPF and totals across the board from last run. It’ll do for a hold if you want the NAM to be off.
  22. DDweatherman
    Not very many people. You guys dumbfound me with reading model runs sometimes.
  23. DDweatherman
    It has t looked that way on other ops the last run or two. Winds have been E-NE.
  24. DDweatherman
    Would have loved to have a 0z DGEX for that NAM run
  25. DDweatherman
    What did you end up with? 4-5”?
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