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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. you are right. I've seen other maps where it's closer to 25-30%
  2. I can't remember which year but I'm thinking between 92-94 where there was a clipper that brought 4" here on Christmas morning. don't know if Boston did the same
  3. yeah fisher was mainly addressing the lack of cold so far, which is spot on. then somehow snow got brought up, to which it's been equally bad until possibly the last week. I typically punt December here anyway, but seeing Pfreaks pics of bare mountains aside from the summits is pretty sad.
  4. more like 8 days to be honest. 24th and beyond are the next chances
  5. Have a feeling those water temps are going to punish me for a while. Tough to get decent snows this early without a really good airmass. GEFS/GEPS have been pretty insistent on - temp anomalies after Christmas and through early Jan. That would be key
  6. what I see as the problem with 12/23 is the lack of digging by the northern stream. what you have left is separate streams until it's too late. things main progressive until it's past new foundland. maybe it's a wasted opportunity with that stout -NAO block. just my amateur analysis, and maybe it's creeping closer to something better
  7. Yeah that would qualify as an ultra ratter, especially for the south shore. I got lucky with a storm that clipped the coast with 75% of my seasonal total. Otherwise, I would've had around 4"
  8. 17 years of data, my lowest seasonal totals were 15.7" in 11/12 and 16.0" in 06/07 Quite hard to go below a foot, but certainly possible in an ultra ratter. Maybe SE CT would have a better shot, or Nantucket
  9. The GEFS are pretty cold post Christmas. below avg anomalies right thru New Years
  10. What will it take for the 24th to come back on the table..better timing of the shortwaves + northern stream needs to dig a bit more/sooner?
  11. there are certain epic aspects of this upcoming pattern..like the NAO block looks pretty epic.
  12. definitely not an epic look down here..but maybe things break right for a storm or two. Like Scott said, it's better than what we've had, for sure.
  13. That period is interesting. fact. This is miles better than what we were looking at a week ago, so I'll take it. Whether that results in snow in mby is another story, but at least I have the urge to check models now.
  14. Dang, It was snowy when I was up there in late November..didn't realize it's been garbage since.
  15. Does -PNA correlate to a wetter pattern and thus, higher volume of chances (wet and white)? The -NAO speaks for itself but was just wondering
  16. Tblizz needs some snow soon, or he's going to be meh'ing us to death for the rest of the winter. death by a thousand mehs
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