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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. I wonder if it literally generates a solution and then hedges 50% towards the previous run. probably not but it is weird how it never jumps around
  2. Christmas storm on 6z GFS looked a bit south and weaker/colder. 50/50 low doing some work on that run
  3. didnt one of those that have that nasty east west gradient rain/snow line basically straddling Boston right down 24.
  4. you know times are tough when some are creating imaginary battles between regions outside of one's own backyard to fill the void..and then being wrong about said imaginary battle.
  5. some snow showers possible on the Cape overnight into tomorrow morning. euro and other high res guidance. James would've mentioned it by now so figured I needed to represent
  6. 18z NAM continues trend of a more amped up southern low at 48h..so let's see if that extrapolates to any improvement by the end of the run
  7. drops a coating to the coast. maybe 2-4 pike north. let's hope the NAO does it's work and can trend that storm a bit south - which is currently going up through the lakes
  8. you are right. I've seen other maps where it's closer to 25-30%
  9. I can't remember which year but I'm thinking between 92-94 where there was a clipper that brought 4" here on Christmas morning. don't know if Boston did the same
  10. yeah fisher was mainly addressing the lack of cold so far, which is spot on. then somehow snow got brought up, to which it's been equally bad until possibly the last week. I typically punt December here anyway, but seeing Pfreaks pics of bare mountains aside from the summits is pretty sad.
  11. more like 8 days to be honest. 24th and beyond are the next chances
  12. Have a feeling those water temps are going to punish me for a while. Tough to get decent snows this early without a really good airmass. GEFS/GEPS have been pretty insistent on - temp anomalies after Christmas and through early Jan. That would be key
  13. what I see as the problem with 12/23 is the lack of digging by the northern stream. what you have left is separate streams until it's too late. things main progressive until it's past new foundland. maybe it's a wasted opportunity with that stout -NAO block. just my amateur analysis, and maybe it's creeping closer to something better
  14. Yeah that would qualify as an ultra ratter, especially for the south shore. I got lucky with a storm that clipped the coast with 75% of my seasonal total. Otherwise, I would've had around 4"
  15. 17 years of data, my lowest seasonal totals were 15.7" in 11/12 and 16.0" in 06/07 Quite hard to go below a foot, but certainly possible in an ultra ratter. Maybe SE CT would have a better shot, or Nantucket
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