SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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Ray before the kicks are attempted: Ray after all the kicks whiff
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For the Euro, I only toggled between 12z today and 12z yesterday at 72 hours. It looked better, but then develops way off shore towards Bermuda. Needs some serious correction in the next 24 hours
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The GEFS look like it had a few hits for Friday, more than 6z..but seems like a longshot still
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If you want to see a worst possible outcome, check out the 12z ICON
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Laugh at the GFS on the details but it can sometimes sniff out general storm trends in the mid range. That being said, prob on crack
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about 4" / 4.5" of paste. had trouble accumulating, just kept compacting down
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based on radar, maybe 1-1.5" left to fall. hoping to get close to 5" OTG. it's really meaty stuff
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3"+ depth. some has compacted S+ currently w big fatty flakes
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Have a lot of catching up to do but pretty heavy attm. probably like 1.5" after a 90 min lull
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I see that on a few models. I had the same thought - probably a few premature bust calls overnight -
It's going to be you..and everyone won't be shocked at this post
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I always got excited seing the 12+ contours dissecting the Cape, with 6-12 up to about Boston. Always gave me confidence that the storm was cold and there was room for improvement without mixing in my area. But that's more of a 90's Millenial memory..lol. I can't quite remember too many storms specifically between 87-90.
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If it's occurring outside of your safe space hours, I'd avoid the danger at all costs.
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RGEM def mixes here for a couple hours. See this is what happens when I talk smack. Still a good hit nonetheless
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SE of BM is a Cape Cod benchmark track for good snows. Guess the rainy Cape calls by some aren't panning out..too bad
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Makes sense..it has been pouring here.
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so 1.26" here on the Euro. That has to be partly rain, correct?
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The last 3-4 years were needed to level set weenie expectations..not sure 3-4 years will do it though. Gonna take harder times to beat those weenies down and reform them. Maybe like a full decades worth of ratters
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half of the models are wet here. but not expecting more than 2-3 with the colder models which seem to develop too late
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yikes. let's keep it PG
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It looks like a slightly east version of the GFS, based on 500mb..but pretty similar overall?
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Good for me and you - at 72 hours I expect it to change, but I'd like to lock the latest runs in.
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that 6z eps mean and most of the members are great even here.
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im not expecting any accumulation being on north side of cape. maybe some flakes.. 1-2 for the islands? radar looks like it's eroding as it hits the wall of dry air..as modeled
