what I see as the problem with 12/23 is the lack of digging by the northern stream. what you have left is separate streams until it's too late. things main progressive until it's past new foundland. maybe it's a wasted opportunity with that stout -NAO block. just my amateur analysis, and maybe it's creeping closer to something better
Yeah that would qualify as an ultra ratter, especially for the south shore. I got lucky with a storm that clipped the coast with 75% of my seasonal total. Otherwise, I would've had around 4"
17 years of data, my lowest seasonal totals were 15.7" in 11/12 and 16.0" in 06/07
Quite hard to go below a foot, but certainly possible in an ultra ratter. Maybe SE CT would have a better shot, or Nantucket
That period is interesting. fact. This is miles better than what we were looking at a week ago, so I'll take it. Whether that results in snow in mby is another story, but at least I have the urge to check models now.
I'd look towards an outside shot of something coming out of 21/22 - if you don't want to wait until after Christmas. Though looks like those odds are decreasing by the run, with the southern/northern streams moving further apart.
Ugh, it's that time of year when your posts give me the general idea of bad trends for mby.
That being said, I never expected anything before 12/25. more of a longshot or hail mary
Meh it's all relative..what I cared about was the rate (as a home buyer in 2020).
But I will say, the house I purchased appreciated much faster than the house I sold..so I don't think I would've been able to make the same move if I waited any longer.