SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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he hitched to the pope wagon. the one where pattern changes don't exist, even though we just had one.
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My mindset was always: 12/5 is when I'll start looking for threats on models. so maybe by then the models will start picking up on trackable winter storms in the day 5+ range. If that gets pushed a couple days, then whatever
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I think a disappointment at this time year would be a shutout through 12/20. Despite the good pattern ahead, I would take 2-4" in mid December and be content.
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We salvage Saturday morning here, for final leaf cleanup
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I just bought some today in the low 4's. lowest since early August
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Just need to avoid this: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=sel2rad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=200&interval=5&year=2020&month=12&day=24&hour=23&minute=55
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Just blew through here with scattered outages. wild
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Pattern is promising but who the hell really knows until we get some storms to track in the mid range. I'd be content with a few inches around mid month or just before the holidays..sans a Christmas grincher
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live look
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From 11/13 through today, SSTs in Cape Cod bay dropped from 57° to 49°. It's been a steady drop since the 'pattern change that never happenend'
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so models in the long range were off about 2 days? doesn't seem like something to get bent out of shape over
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I've been conditioned to accept it, and it helps to know that we can still score on high end storms from time to time. Plus, other things like wind and the occasional OES keep it somewhat interesting.
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Would you rather have them currently showing a death vortex over GOA and a raging +NAO. No reason to panic yet on 11/22
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Oh yeah..I'm just ribbing him - I was a big fan of the December 2020 period prior to the epic grincher. Like you said, the panic this early is absurd - especially with ensembles looking pretty good attm.
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Kevin only wants snow in December so he can be like a kid in his jammies around the holidays, sipping hot chocolate, and looking out the window at the snow. He has a lot invested in December panning out, hence the lashing out.
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Might touch low 50's here at one point this weekend? What record highs are you talking about? Models are mostly showing 40's to near 50
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eh..through central PA / upstate NY. need some serious changes
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Yes. any BL winds blowing 1° from the direction of the ocean and we toast, typically. I'd take a SWFE. If I recall wasn't that Nov 18? Cape Cod bay is 55° currently. Maybe in another month we'll have a bit more wiggle room..but not much until January down here.
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Well we've gone from 60's and 70's, with TP hanging out of my shorts last weekend to consistent 30's and 40's - with a couple days in the 50's after TDay possible, before we head back to the 30/40's again. I'd say it's been a change.
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Orchard park crushed
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Sea temp is 55° right now. I typically don't even look at models until after Thanksgiving, unless there's anomalous cold around along with a good setup - which next week seems to have at the moment. Still would need to thread the needle to score down in these parts.
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yeah looks like there's some rain/graupel showers on radar. enjoy
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The energy got cutoff completely into the SW. 0z hinted at this but 12z went all in. Still a bias?
