For the past couple days, the NAM and ICON have been showing better solutions to start the model cycles..before being shat on by the rest of the model suite. Good to see the RGEM on board this time.
The key is that tug back as the first low escapes..and another low reinvigorates just as northern energy moves in. Does seem like another stretched out dual low situation.
RGEM looked decent - but I think the ceiling is capped at like 2-4" for far SE areas. Some models also hinting at one of the fraud five (inverted trough) close by
Appears to be an unfortunate timing error..that lead shortwave moving off the coast is too fast despite that digging northern stream. And I guess the northern stream isn't digging like it did at 12z yesterday. so meh
Definitely getting an 'eat the rich' vibe from folks out west, which is concerning. Hope it works out for most, so some of us can avoid the gulag. Tblizz prob first to go if not
I concur. It sucked right on the coast.
I do remember just inland though it was like a different world. Going from 1" in my town to 10-12" pack in Carver
I had slight interest for a couple hours this morning..then it immediately trended to sh*t. Better than being strung along and getting the rug pulled at Day 4