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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    RGEM is now a modest hit for the Cape, perhaps advisory upper/mid cape and warning level outer cape/ACK. I know, exciting for all on here.
  2. SouthCoastMA
    About 14 for east central CT
  3. SouthCoastMA
    The euro is definitely keeping me interested. Guilty. I'm not locking it in or everything but I'm in until it caves towards the others. The 12z ECM-AI EPS were also a small tick better, despite the ECM-AI OP going a hair SE.
  4. SouthCoastMA
    30/51 of those are 1"+ liquid here.
  5. SouthCoastMA
    33.5". roughly at seasonal average
  6. SouthCoastMA
    EPS still pretty robust vs 0z, slight tick seward. must still be a few really good members. I didn't see 6z
  7. SouthCoastMA
    Somehow only a 5 mile tick se
  8. SouthCoastMA
    ACK grazer
  9. SouthCoastMA
    AIGFS is a clean whiff. Brutal
  10. SouthCoastMA
    JMA was 2/06 iirc
  11. SouthCoastMA
    Euro blows if all these other crappy models are latching onto the positioning of these large-scale features with more accuracy in the 48h-72h range. shit streaks included
  12. SouthCoastMA
    Giving me confidence of seeing a move SE by 12z Euro.
  13. SouthCoastMA
    And the RGEM is meh. whole trough structure a bit east
  14. SouthCoastMA
    yes to latter. Just a stronger storm and slightly better positioned trough
  15. SouthCoastMA
    12z ICON is slight improvement. stronger low, tick nw
  16. SouthCoastMA
    The EURO seems to be focusing on a 3rd low north of the Hatteras and Bahamian lows, that gets most of the moisture up here. The holy trinity.
  17. SouthCoastMA
    You'd think the Euro would have the better capacity to handle this type of complicated interaction. Unless it's glue again
  18. SouthCoastMA
    That's going to be there. The question is how far can it slingshot up to affect parts of SNE. Looked in better position based on higher heights and trough orientation. we'll see
  19. SouthCoastMA
    NAM looked decent at 48h..but extrapolating this model past that is asking for trouble.
  20. SouthCoastMA
    stuck with in hand out in arctic cold?
  21. SouthCoastMA
    I'm not sure. But if one were to only look at the Euro OP runs for 1/27 12z, 1/28 0z, 1/28 12z, and 1/29 0z..one would think it's coming/trending closer.
  22. SouthCoastMA
    I agree, to an extent. Most models are still well within margin of error to make a bigger impact. If the Euro has any clue, a couple more get on board at 12z. I think we'll have a better idea by 0z tonight. I think it's a lower probability, obviously.
  23. SouthCoastMA
    I'm just surprised the Euro still has warming criteria here. I guess id expect 12z to cave further unless the other models come back.
  24. SouthCoastMA
    No reports about 6z euro yet. must be worse
  25. SouthCoastMA
    So the ICON schooled the Euro after all, if this holds. shrug. Still so close to something bigger here..we wait for 12z
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