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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Lock in the Euro AI and call it a day. That's how I hope this unfolds.
  2. WOTY 2026 vegas odds just posted, strong start for weathergeek
  3. 10-20" seems possible, closer to the latter if the secondary gets going
  4. expecting a 12z Euro pbp from Dendrite and Dryslot to seal the deal. half joking of course
  5. I don't think its completely off the table, yet. Depends how the trailing energy trends. Unless you just meant this run verbatim.
  6. Northern stream energy looked further south..maybe a better end result?
  7. I'm not really worried about the initial low, but rather any redevelopment being over our heads. I'd like to see that phased 500 evolution drag more east or south vs over our heads.
  8. I do see that. I may be in trouble but 6z Euro was slightly better in that regard vs 0z. Wouldn't be surprised in either direction at 12z
  9. Not a big fan of the 500 low moving ENE over New England..vs under us. kinda handicaps any 2nd half storm potential for SNE. Hopefully an overreaction by Euro. I know,, still a decent storm. GFS/GEM better with that
  10. 12z EPS showing some hangback moisture on Monday into Tuesday - i'm guessing a few members showing redevelopment or invt trough hanging back.
  11. EuroAI similar, maybe a tick faster? Thought at first it would be south
  12. @The 4 Seasons17.5" - Sandwich, MA ESandwich Coop might have slightly more
  13. True, I was kinda worried to see that trend south..but I do trust the EUROAI more.
  14. CMC slower, so thats a route to get the confluence to ease up a bit
  15. 2010 is not walking through that door. wagons north (somewhat).
  16. Might be some ocean effect along EMA with that look
  17. I got a group text with a link to a Northeast Weather Alert fb post
  18. Yeah and then you rain. So I'd be more optimistic considering where you live.
  19. Euro AI slunked south a tad at 18z. Still would be a good position for decent hit
  20. I feel the opposite. Models are probably overplaying the magnitude of the cold press..which as it stands would be extreme. I'm betting on a moderation of that. That being said, I didn't like seeing the AIGFS go south at 18z but I do think it will end up at least a graze here.
  21. Definitely some compaction/melt occurring early AM (around 2am temp rose to 33°) I was out and heard a lot of dripping
  22. Im convinced the AIs are going to lead the way on this. ride them in the mid range for storm track, 500 trough positions
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