Now that we've finally established that Euro is 'just another model' at Day 4/5, you still have some throwing hissy fits on it's day 9 OP output. Come on people
It's winters like these where you need to adjust your lifestyle to only keep an eye on potential threats. Don't waste time with each model cycle. For all I care, we could torch for the next month - and if we get one biggie in late Feb or March then I'd be content.
And that's not really kicking the can. 1/24-1/26 was always a period of interest. And again a few days later, so we'll see but still some bullets in the chamber.
Meh - Until I see that ridge out west start to collapse - I couldn't give two flying f*cks about a +AO. Things looks good pattern wise through early February. Doesn't mean we'll capitalize, of course.
The NAM is less impressive vs earlier runs. And CoastalWx is correct, some of that Euro output was from OES. Thinking maybe a quick inch or 2 at most tomorrow. Maybe an inch from OES Friday/Sat if it pans out.
Agreed. For all the sh*t the GFS gets on the details in close..it has been decent getting a general idea at times vs the Euro, especially in the mid-range where we start sniffing out threats.