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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    Meh. 18z AIFS a small tick east. Thought it looked slightly better at 500 early on
  2. SouthCoastMA
    Hopefully more like 6z and not some sort of uninspiring compromise
  3. SouthCoastMA
    I'm more interested in Euro AI. If that bumps NW Ill feel more confident. The 12z Euro was so far SE that it almost has to come back a bit. The AIGFS run was mildly alarming I guess, since it matches the GEFS mean
  4. SouthCoastMA
    Then feel free to ride it. I'm not saying the data is is inaccurate overall, but it HAS sucked on several singular storms over the past month.
  5. SouthCoastMA
    It's amazing how it pulls these scores given how bad it's been around this area, wrt storm placement in mid range since mid Jan
  6. SouthCoastMA
    it was worse than 0z. pretty bad
  7. SouthCoastMA
    18z will have it near the Delmarva then 0z will plug the plug again
  8. SouthCoastMA
    EPS have flip flopped a ton as well. so hard to trust them.
  9. SouthCoastMA
    Too much so, imo
  10. SouthCoastMA
    Euro is dogshit, both the run and the model itself. It needs to prove it's good again before it can be trusted. Obviously you want it to show a hit rather than not, but almost unusable at this point. Just my recency bias
  11. SouthCoastMA
    The AIFS had the low further south to start but ended up close to 6z..maybe very slight nudge like some said.
  12. SouthCoastMA
    If I had to wager..not like the CMC but small improvement . Actually the 6z is similar to 12z GFS so any improvement or hold would be welcome
  13. SouthCoastMA
    This is where the old Dr No would come in and end the party in 90 minutes
  14. SouthCoastMA
  15. SouthCoastMA
    CMC going to be quite good..
  16. SouthCoastMA
    AIGFS a miss but GFS OP looking more promising through 96h
  17. SouthCoastMA
    Let's go Canadian on this. Would be a decent hit right to the coast
  18. SouthCoastMA
    55? I'd take that in April Try 42 instead
  19. SouthCoastMA
  20. SouthCoastMA
    I'd be more concerned about the euro AI, which is a glancing blow
  21. SouthCoastMA
    In the end it's actually further west than 12z. Starts bombing further south though
  22. SouthCoastMA
    Still gets up here with big impact..but didn't expect it to.
  23. SouthCoastMA
    Yeah but not much. The GFS OP looks like crap so far, however. Or maybe just further SW, maybe spoke too soon
  24. SouthCoastMA
    Even whiffs here after some rain. maybe a few wet flakes at end
  25. SouthCoastMA
    The Euro seemed to have zero ridging behind the Fri/Saturday system, so everything slides ENE. It did look kind strange, being so flat and no other model is showing that. The CMC has a good amount of ridging, helping to amplify it much closer to the coast. The AIFS was somewhere in between. The 12z GEFS were actually pretty flat too. Eh, we'll know a lot more where things are trending 24 hours from now
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