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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. So the ICON schooled the Euro after all, if this holds. shrug. Still so close to something bigger here..we wait for 12z
  2. Looked slightly better vs 18z. more tilted and ready to slingshot
  3. I'd be more willing to toss the Euro OP if the EPS didn't make such a big shift. Could still be zonked a bit too much, and wouldn't be shocked to see 0z take a small step back.
  4. Its hard to imagine the ICON schooling the Euro/EPS at 90 hours. So there's that
  5. The ICON should be better, but almost had to be.
  6. It also has that barbell low way out east, further east than 12z. Not sure what that ultimately means, extrapolated. Boob lows are fun.
  7. 2/10/87, but chance to spread the wealth further inland. Don't punt yet
  8. Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy
  9. EPS is still 1" of liquid to canal. maybe 15 miles shift se vs 0z. I didn't look at 6z
  10. That was a massive blue ball. IIRC it was a sub 960mb behemoth east of benchmark, which got the outer cape/ACK into warning criteria
  11. To keep it simple, the the takeaway for me is the 12z EPS/Euro were a slight improvement over 6z. If it trends in opposite direction again for 18z/0z - then I'll start to be concerned about a true whiff. I'm also on the Cape, so theres that.
  12. I never understood those who punt 5 days out on storms that aren't far off from being huge. gotta be some sort of coping/defense mechanism. Let it play out a bit more
  13. Very glancing blow here on Euro OP, but not worse than 6z at least. Let's keep it within striking distance
  14. 6z Euro was basically a whiff so probably a little
  15. ECM-AI with small tick SE. Its well outside BM, and moves ENE. Lets get the trajectory on that more northerly.
  16. One of the GEFS ensembles near the mean is a 958mb on the benchark. Would probably send a giant deform band far inland.
  17. You just want to keep the storm on the table at this range. It's a good run for 120hr
  18. A 968mb low SE of the benchmark would obliterate SE areas. Long way to go with this one. ICON was a whiff but probably an improvement over 6z.
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