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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. The ensembles have a pretty strong signal on Day 9/10. Whether that pans out positively for SNE is the WinterWolf question of the day. We just don't know.
  2. Best chance seems to be a redeveloping clipper around 12/11..but far to go on that one. Then hopefully we are looking at a few more chances post 12/18 after the huge cutter/warmup mid month. Better then than on 12/24, but never a good idea to rule out a grincher.
  3. EPS have them too. The 10th in particular looks interesting
  4. Euro op has chances on 6th, 10th, 11th. Maybe we can cash in on one of those
  5. We've seen this scenario time and again the past several winters. The euro being the coldest solution/outlier 3-4 days out then slowly trends to other guidance, It could be anecdotal but just seems to have a cold bias up here in that mid range. In the past it wouldn't budge much while the other models trend much colder. Its just my perception, and may not reflect its overall ability, or even reality.
  6. Giving weenies to King weenie can be redundant. You need to earn your place in the weenie hall of fame first before you get a pass
  7. Yeah looked a bit better with those clippers post 12/8
  8. After tomorrow..looks like everything is put through the confluence shredder through early next week? maybe some flurries
  9. NAM shows has boob lows, so the euro might have had that aspect right. Otherwise it has sucked in the 48-96 hour range
  10. looking more and more meh outside of ineedsnow/hubbdave land
  11. Realism. Something trackable by 12/6 is still fairly early down here, aside from the locales getting hit tomorrow (ineedsnow/hubbdave/ray, etc).
  12. You'll also be rooting for storms that hook in but stay just outside the benchmark. That's our sweet spot
  13. Where the purple starts on the SE side is where the accumulation begins imo. Don't doubt someone could see 6" within that area though, further inland caveat of euro being correct
  14. yes, a few of those intense Euro runs from 11/28 may have pulled it off even close to the coast.
  15. The subplot of Tblizz vs George is what I'm here for. Not expecting a flake here. Too bad the euro is the coldest model again. I feel like it's been prone to that in recent years, even if it ends up as a compromise. JAM
  16. The euro has caved a bunch the last few years, it's not the old King. Hope it's right though
  17. Kinda need a deep system to get the rates. More of a thread the needle situation, but still super early here to expect anything.
  18. As some said, wish this was a month later. Looks like heavy rain here, but maybe we can go isothermal for an hour or two to get the ground whitened
  19. If things don't break right this year, there's always this option
  20. do it for a few hours, ride the high, then come crashing back to earth at 18z.
  21. retreating highs and marginal antecedent airmass is a theme of the last several years. makes it an easy call along the coast at least
  22. Even works here. Highly skeptical but something trackable at least
  23. Id take the ground whitening or even flakes in the air.
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