If I had a first guess for here, id say 4-8". I haven't locked it in and realized it could also whiff, or end up verifying higher if things trend slightly better 4.5 days out.
Fair enough. I wasn't exactly buying earlier either. I'm probably in a better spot to keep watching for something 12"+, but need the confluence to correct slightly further north
part of my backyard is has several large patches of ice from the last storm, and some patchy snow. I wonder if it becomes a rink after tomorrow's storm.
yeah it's moved about 400 miles since 18z last night. Now a Cape/EMA crusher. It will likely trend further west, even though I'd lock in right there if I could.
Yeah I don't think this is one of those either or scenarios, where capture will send this to Trenton otherwise it will be a weak wave well southeast of benchmark. Phasing could occur closer to benchmark as well.