SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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Benefit of the doubt that this was a joke -
Taking a closer look, yeah the air mass is good enough especially if we get a benchmark or just inside benchmark track, just off the coast. I'm more speaking to my area, I'd prefer the BM as the furthest west position, but that is no honestly no different than most coastals here . let's go
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And I think it's just normal tracking going on..I don't see any spiking.
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well we basically need BM or southeast of there to get snow in these air masses. Otherwise, the more tucked solutions may be great for interior
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The 973mb SE of the benchmark or the 958 east of Nantucket would be the best here. Fun to look at, and wish we were within 4 days. The GFS/GEFS still nothing like the Euro/EPS, but GEPS is actually pretty close to the EPS.
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In Plymouth now..sheet rain and 39°
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That's like the mid Jan storm here that theoretically dumped 10-12" but never reached a depth higher than 1.8". Not really, but still pissed about that
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doubt you get any rain at this point..backside already close to you
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Means: 6z GEFS: OV/NY State 0z GEPS: Delmarva to Benchmark 0z EPS: Off NJ Lots of spread in the ensembles as expected 8 days out
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The GEFS mean and GFS OP are about 2000 miles apart
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I thought it cut back vs 12z
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Maybe weathafella can post a StormVista snow map of the 6z Euro for a quick fix. It's better than the real thing
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944mb SE of benchmark. what I would give
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The GFS op starting get to get interested in 3/8 and 3/10-11.
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GFS looks a tad colder thru 24h..hard to believe. Let's see what happens afterwards Edit: The primary is stronger and slightly more NW at 36h, so I'm assuming that will offset the colder start
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The RGEM looks a hair worse to me on the front end. 18z starting off on wrong foot
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convection usually amps things up so it's a valid concern.
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edibles, ipa's, and crack. helluva combo - the NAM and UKIE must be fun at parties
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I don't trust it to locate the primary correctly, so punted.
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Ensembles have a signal for something around 3/11 - slightly stronger vs 0z/6z. The members that do show a storm are whoppers. It's not super strong signal yet, but it's there.
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vs Simsbury, not sure that's a big difference. unless you were planning on being north. pray for ukie/gfs end result
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just an earlier transfer reflected on surface map. primary still around Cleveland
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And it doesn't mean shit here, so I'm not sure why I care. I'll take another tic or 2 south so I can get a couple on the front end, which would mean 6"+ potentially in your neck of the woods.
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The GFS: pretty consistent, some wobbling around Cleveland.
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The Euro past two days: Chicago to Cleveland, slow trek.
