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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. The capture is far too north and late now into the GOM..a far cry from some of yesterday's earlier runs that backed the storm in east of the Cape with a solid ccb to a lot of EMA. I think the winds will be strong here..but for a shorter duration. I guess the Euro/3K NAM would be decent, and maybe we can tick this back south a bit at 12z
  2. Expecting zilch here but I'd probably wait til 0z to punt completely. sorta expected the euro to look like that at 18z given the other guidance. Maybe it ticks back the other way
  3. Through 48 the track is near the Cape, but thermals look torched
  4. GFS/EURO/NAM blend crushes. the Canadians are hot garbage here
  5. EPS have been pretty steadfast for a while - NAM will look different again in 6 hours
  6. what I would give to have that verify a bit east, like some of the ensembles. Seems like the OP runs are all bringing them on Cape or just inland now. The trajectory matters too, which Euro OP being most favorable here.
  7. Id take like a 15-20 mile tic east from what the Euro OP has. As of now, would be torture
  8. Looks like it's snow here by late Tuesday evening on that run
  9. Do we flip down here? And, this seems like it's going to change every 6 hours
  10. I may have gotten duped by some of the overnight runs. That's what I'm expecting too, though I'll keep tracking with the outside hope that some of those more eastern ensembles have the better idea.
  11. mix rain / snow and 36°. typical winter 22/23 vibes
  12. Euro over 2.5", GFS is over 3" precip, CMC over 4" in EMA. lot of that is wasted here, but it got a lot more interesting overnight. Models continue to be variable with the subtle interaction/timing between the S/N stream, and we'll probably see things shifting around for next day or two.
  13. GEFS still has two camps, one cluster south of RI/BBay and the others east of Cape
  14. It's ovah here. This could be the worst winter I've recorded, and can remember.
  15. Jesus, I'm even close on the ICON run. tick that 25 miles east
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