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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy
  2. EPS is still 1" of liquid to canal. maybe 15 miles shift se vs 0z. I didn't look at 6z
  3. That was a massive blue ball. IIRC it was a sub 960mb behemoth east of benchmark, which got the outer cape/ACK into warning criteria
  4. To keep it simple, the the takeaway for me is the 12z EPS/Euro were a slight improvement over 6z. If it trends in opposite direction again for 18z/0z - then I'll start to be concerned about a true whiff. I'm also on the Cape, so theres that.
  5. I never understood those who punt 5 days out on storms that aren't far off from being huge. gotta be some sort of coping/defense mechanism. Let it play out a bit more
  6. Very glancing blow here on Euro OP, but not worse than 6z at least. Let's keep it within striking distance
  7. 6z Euro was basically a whiff so probably a little
  8. ECM-AI with small tick SE. Its well outside BM, and moves ENE. Lets get the trajectory on that more northerly.
  9. One of the GEFS ensembles near the mean is a 958mb on the benchark. Would probably send a giant deform band far inland.
  10. You just want to keep the storm on the table at this range. It's a good run for 120hr
  11. A 968mb low SE of the benchmark would obliterate SE areas. Long way to go with this one. ICON was a whiff but probably an improvement over 6z.
  12. Some weird dual low/barbell slingshot action going on with that. A lot to be sorted out still.
  13. ECM-AI a massive hit for eastern new England. Looking closer it ended up just outside benchmark
  14. Well, we all can't be winners every run. It's still 6+ days out and the ensembles have large spread.
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