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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. GFS/EURO/NAM blend crushes. the Canadians are hot garbage here
  2. EPS have been pretty steadfast for a while - NAM will look different again in 6 hours
  3. what I would give to have that verify a bit east, like some of the ensembles. Seems like the OP runs are all bringing them on Cape or just inland now. The trajectory matters too, which Euro OP being most favorable here.
  4. Id take like a 15-20 mile tic east from what the Euro OP has. As of now, would be torture
  5. Looks like it's snow here by late Tuesday evening on that run
  6. Do we flip down here? And, this seems like it's going to change every 6 hours
  7. I may have gotten duped by some of the overnight runs. That's what I'm expecting too, though I'll keep tracking with the outside hope that some of those more eastern ensembles have the better idea.
  8. mix rain / snow and 36°. typical winter 22/23 vibes
  9. Euro over 2.5", GFS is over 3" precip, CMC over 4" in EMA. lot of that is wasted here, but it got a lot more interesting overnight. Models continue to be variable with the subtle interaction/timing between the S/N stream, and we'll probably see things shifting around for next day or two.
  10. GEFS still has two camps, one cluster south of RI/BBay and the others east of Cape
  11. It's ovah here. This could be the worst winter I've recorded, and can remember.
  12. Jesus, I'm even close on the ICON run. tick that 25 miles east
  13. I'd rather it curl onto my dome from the NE than SE..but regardless, a lot of wet here. Maybe that gets me some accumulations on the backend
  14. Clever move. When snow maps aren't ridiculous enough, convert them to cm to really get the weenies going
  15. Definitely. Now just a question of how far seaward the southern vort gets before it curls back NW into the northern stream.
  16. Those sub 970mb members ESE of ACK would be great here, but eh, still looks tucky
  17. Obviously rooting for the wider hook and tug here. Any other scenario is pretty much a wash here. Even the former would be rain for a chunk. UKMET and EURO OP compromise would be fun.
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