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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    Took 20 hours off from looking at models and this forum and it actually looks slightly better now, possibly getting tickled by the CCB this evening.
  2. SouthCoastMA
    Pretty much every model has that hideous appendage teabagging CT - unlikely that it's a mirage.
  3. SouthCoastMA
    Still a minority cluster holding tight east of the Cape, at least .
  4. SouthCoastMA
    The EPS were pretty consistent in the 2.5-4.5 day range, then it just unraveled.
  5. SouthCoastMA
    One could hope that the 6z Euro is a blip. The 3K NAM would make most happy.
  6. SouthCoastMA
    The capture is far too north and late now into the GOM..a far cry from some of yesterday's earlier runs that backed the storm in east of the Cape with a solid ccb to a lot of EMA. I think the winds will be strong here..but for a shorter duration. I guess the Euro/3K NAM would be decent, and maybe we can tick this back south a bit at 12z
  7. SouthCoastMA
    yeah, blows
  8. SouthCoastMA
    Man, wish I was back in Ashburnham for this. epic up there
  9. SouthCoastMA
    Expecting zilch here but I'd probably wait til 0z to punt completely. sorta expected the euro to look like that at 18z given the other guidance. Maybe it ticks back the other way
  10. SouthCoastMA
    Through 48 the track is near the Cape, but thermals look torched
  11. SouthCoastMA
    how are the winds here. we Phil?
  12. SouthCoastMA
    Nipple in SW CT.
  13. SouthCoastMA
    GFS/EURO/NAM blend crushes. the Canadians are hot garbage here
  14. SouthCoastMA
    EPS have been pretty steadfast for a while - NAM will look different again in 6 hours
  15. SouthCoastMA
    Stein giving Tolland 0-2"
  16. SouthCoastMA
    what I would give to have that verify a bit east, like some of the ensembles. Seems like the OP runs are all bringing them on Cape or just inland now. The trajectory matters too, which Euro OP being most favorable here.
  17. SouthCoastMA
    Id take like a 15-20 mile tic east from what the Euro OP has. As of now, would be torture
  18. SouthCoastMA
    Looks like it's snow here by late Tuesday evening on that run
  19. SouthCoastMA
    It would truly be an Oak Bluffs winter.
  20. SouthCoastMA
    Do we flip down here? And, this seems like it's going to change every 6 hours
  21. SouthCoastMA
    looks like boob lows
  22. SouthCoastMA
    I may have gotten duped by some of the overnight runs. That's what I'm expecting too, though I'll keep tracking with the outside hope that some of those more eastern ensembles have the better idea.
  23. SouthCoastMA
    mix rain / snow and 36°. typical winter 22/23 vibes
  24. SouthCoastMA
    Euro over 2.5", GFS is over 3" precip, CMC over 4" in EMA. lot of that is wasted here, but it got a lot more interesting overnight. Models continue to be variable with the subtle interaction/timing between the S/N stream, and we'll probably see things shifting around for next day or two.
  25. SouthCoastMA
    GEFS still has two camps, one cluster south of RI/BBay and the others east of Cape
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