SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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Einhorn is Finkle Finkle is Einhorn -
when one even receives shade from Will, you know thee have sinned
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NAM was warmer here. we out again
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HRRR outside of 12 hours, disqualified
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I know which suite of models I'm rooting for..
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For me, the red flag for mby is the RGEM. I know it's not regarded well around here but I usually find it nails the rain snow lines pretty well. Anecdotal I know. Guess we'll see if Reggie on crack
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JAM not saying it's wrong, but let's wait til 12z
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Made a slight comeback down here too..maybe I'll squeak out a couple inches from Orchids. Just hate being shut out
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Really sucks missing out on this one with two potential cutters on deck.
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I miss the Messenger Shuffle - wish we still had those but maybe models are too good now. Or maybe they occur more when the confluence press is strengthening, rather than waning. I feel like any jumps now are typically just noise, and wobble back after a couple cycles.
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ha 0" here. it's always nice tracking something for 4+ days just to end up with nada
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seems like a tamer version of the GFS. the 12z GFS was the ceiling in my opinion, and the RGEM got close.
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That RGEM run would even work here if it ticked about 25 miles. Crazy solution
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That trough interaction is what makes it dicey for se areas..you can see the low get tugged northward/northwestward towards LI before it shoots east, which changes coastal sections over. I suppose we also want to see the confluence stand strong, or start ticking stronger again.
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Dang, I think I'm out unless models start ticking back southeast a bit. maybe an inch on the backend
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Still some spread. wouldn't lock anything in yet Those western members near Long island are gross
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6z euro cooled off a tad?
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Still a lot of time left. id lock this run in now if I could
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what will happen is that this will trend to an elongated boob low ramming into Tolland CT, with its saggy counterpart scooting east of Nantucket.
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I think inland will do fine verbatim..but speaking more for the coast. water temps still 43-45
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1 here, maybe 4 or 5 there. I saw this a bunch last year, temps 33-35 and moderate rates barely accumulating an inch despite solid qpf. the further se solutions had the winds more NE you're still in a decent spot but let's hope it doesn't tuck anymore before it moves eastward
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1-4" if euro is right the 0z and 6z runs has better positioning for us
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I'd feel pretty good at the moment anywhere NW of the canal, barring any more shifts northward. euro op would be good here but not buying it yet, JAM.
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Looking like an inch then rain here. yay. and the 10th is already locked in for the coast as rain. Maybe CAD will help the interior, i dunno
