Trust me. I want it to be real. But I need 2-3 consistent cycles of improvements to get invested again. We are within 96 hours so if that happens then I'm more than willing to get fully on board so that tomorrows 12z runs can again rip my beating heart out
Precip shield on nw side looks like crap on all models. Maybe I'll get lucky with a coating to an inch. Outer cape may get some OE snow showers late Sunday or Monday..so maybe something to watch for them
I think it's reasonable to track if one understands the odds of a decent hit are like <20%. But yeah, I get that I could also not be wasting my time and be doing something more productive.
Like has been mentioned, if that FL/GA shortwave can slow down a bit or trend further west at 12z, the Saturday storm won't traverse halfway to Bermuda like the EPS has it doing.
No point in arguing about 6z. If 12z shows nothing or no improvement, then she likely dead aside from scattered flurries. If it's shows another small improvement, then we continue to watch.
I just saw 5 or 6 drones here on the Cape. look like stars but fluctuating in brightness and speed. then a few minutes later they were gone..and I heard and saw a jet flying by. hmmm