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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. The one big red flag is the EPS has been pretty steadfast for the past 3-4 runs of being mostly a miss. Need to see that change at 12z
  2. Gun to head, this trends slightly better at 12z giving EMA low end advisory. Speaking of GFS/Euro suite
  3. Euro is still 1-3" here. It had nada 12z yesterday. Still some room for this to inch a bit closer, given the AI guidance. I think some were subsconsciously locking in the big GFS runs.
  4. I still think a moderate event is possible. Big hits are gone though. Let's hope the AIs continue to stand pat
  5. EPS are so flat at 18z, gotta think those trend west at 0z given the other guidance
  6. That was a good move by the Euro. the outliers from 12z have moved towards each other at 18z
  7. For as much as I'd love that to verify, yes. For now at least with 0 support.
  8. Then you read wrong. Its not one or the other, but possibly a compromise. See the Euro AI/GFS AI/GEFS. I wouldn't put my eggs in either the GFS OP or Euro OP runs at 12z.
  9. About as predictable as the sun rising. I would have taken slight improvement but of course it goes in the other direction
  10. GFSed again.. definitely the most amped out of all heavy rain to heavy snow here
  11. Yeah you are probably right. Maybe a few dumb ones who are not dormant
  12. might kill some ticks..other than that I can't think of anything
  13. It latched on to the storm fail on 1/15-1/16 before the GFS did. I guess that's not saying much
  14. For what exactly? Still looked like to me
  15. The 20th would have a colder antecedent airmass, so that would be preferable over the 18th anyway. Not that we have the luxury of preferences.
  16. I wish everyone could experience the feeling of extreme glee I get when snowmobile pics are posted.
  17. "Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, January 9th. In a panic, the weenies try to pull the plug."
  18. If obviously the right call if you were making a bet. Still some time for other models to come around at least. Low/Non Zero chance the GEFS are sniffing out something..we'll see about the EPS
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