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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Euro blows if all these other crappy models are latching onto the positioning of these large-scale features with more accuracy in the 48h-72h range. shit streaks included
  2. And the RGEM is meh. whole trough structure a bit east
  3. yes to latter. Just a stronger storm and slightly better positioned trough
  4. 12z ICON is slight improvement. stronger low, tick nw
  5. The EURO seems to be focusing on a 3rd low north of the Hatteras and Bahamian lows, that gets most of the moisture up here. The holy trinity.
  6. You'd think the Euro would have the better capacity to handle this type of complicated interaction. Unless it's glue again
  7. That's going to be there. The question is how far can it slingshot up to affect parts of SNE. Looked in better position based on higher heights and trough orientation. we'll see
  8. NAM looked decent at 48h..but extrapolating this model past that is asking for trouble.
  9. I'm not sure. But if one were to only look at the Euro OP runs for 1/27 12z, 1/28 0z, 1/28 12z, and 1/29 0z..one would think it's coming/trending closer.
  10. I agree, to an extent. Most models are still well within margin of error to make a bigger impact. If the Euro has any clue, a couple more get on board at 12z. I think we'll have a better idea by 0z tonight. I think it's a lower probability, obviously.
  11. I'm just surprised the Euro still has warming criteria here. I guess id expect 12z to cave further unless the other models come back.
  12. So the ICON schooled the Euro after all, if this holds. shrug. Still so close to something bigger here..we wait for 12z
  13. Looked slightly better vs 18z. more tilted and ready to slingshot
  14. I'd be more willing to toss the Euro OP if the EPS didn't make such a big shift. Could still be zonked a bit too much, and wouldn't be shocked to see 0z take a small step back.
  15. Its hard to imagine the ICON schooling the Euro/EPS at 90 hours. So there's that
  16. It also has that barbell low way out east, further east than 12z. Not sure what that ultimately means, extrapolated. Boob lows are fun.
  17. 2/10/87, but chance to spread the wealth further inland. Don't punt yet
  18. Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy
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