Deleted my post by accident.. but October you can get a second mini peak around mid month...however doesn't the pattern typically get more hostile by then with regards to westerlies? (up here)
.01 last night
I'm confident in a 7/10 split here on Sunday... heavy precip evaporates west of here, then most models have a healthy slug of moisture missing to the east aftewards. awesome! I expect the 3k NAM to trend eastward. Easy forecast.
yeah it was always a front I guess. A few Euro runs from a couple days ago had the low further south and better lift here, and that has trended north. Loosely reminded me of recent winters where clippers seem to like NNE or southern canada the best.
Friday just reminds me of one of those 'clippers' we get in modern winters that starts out further south in the long range, but eventually ends up north of the St Lawrence river . meh
Something we've needed to consider the last few years. Euro on an island is JAM, and usually tossed. That can be brutal in winter though when the weenies get extra feral for snow