Jump to content

SouthCoastMA

Members
  • Posts

    7,820
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Agreed about the changeover issue being overplayed, but I'm just being greedy and looking to maximize this storm. Trying to avoid 20 miles north of me getting 19" while I'm stuck at 10-11"/slotted/snizzling. Damn, just realized I'm channeling Ray.
  2. lol - knew what to expect when you said that. definitely stronger low, would be nice for many - a little bit warmer here, but tough to trust the ICON thermals.
  3. Once in range, I'd imagine the mesos will start upticking the qpf associated to ocean enhancement and long fetch easterly flow. Wouldn't be shocked to see 1.5-2" on those models as we get closer. Can already kinda see it on the Euro maps
  4. NAM would be pretty great here and for SNE in general. someone in Eastern Plymouth/Norfolk county going to score big
  5. Euro is 12"+ here with 10:1. Likes the secondary for round 2
  6. Wish the GFS had a clue. Id rather not the low ride up over ACK, though many would love that.
  7. Yeah, its frigid to start. The floor for this storm is super high. The mix discussion is only relevant for those who want to maximize any snowfall from redevelopment. and mainly in SE sections.
  8. Kind of a mixed bag. Seemed colder with the initial thump, and a bit warmer along coast when the secondary got cranking. ^regarding 6z Euro AI.
  9. I never understood those 50-75 miles north of me worrying about it. As of now, its purely a concern right along the coast/cape. Still a good hit regardless.
  10. ~10" Cape/SC and 10-20" elsewhere would've worked as a broadbrush.
  11. At worst 95% of your precip will be snow. I have a bit more to worry about after the initial thump. Euro still looks decent despite changing over. All bets are off if the trend to keep the primary stronger and further north persists
  12. Southern areas will want the north trend with the primary to stop to maximize totals with any secondary development. Otherwise it's a flip to rain and dryslot after the good thump. GFS on the other hand is great, though little confidence it's correct
  13. I'd take 8-10" even if it mixes at the end. That's a win in the last 4 years
  14. Looking at 500mb on EPS, Northern stream didn't look as amped vs 6z.
  15. Lock in the Euro AI and call it a day. That's how I hope this unfolds.
  16. WOTY 2026 vegas odds just posted, strong start for weathergeek
  17. 10-20" seems possible, closer to the latter if the secondary gets going
  18. expecting a 12z Euro pbp from Dendrite and Dryslot to seal the deal. half joking of course
  19. I don't think its completely off the table, yet. Depends how the trailing energy trends. Unless you just meant this run verbatim.
  20. Northern stream energy looked further south..maybe a better end result?
×
×
  • Create New...