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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Not to cause confusion..but thought trough was a bit flatter at 48h
  2. Yeah if its raining outside here, I can live vicariously through the Pats game.
  3. RGEM is warm here..rain ending as 1-2". woof NAM/ICON are the two models you'd want to be eastern outliers at least.
  4. Many spooked by the NAM, and jaded by the recent years. I get it, but it holds little wait until we see the others start doing the same.
  5. Goalposts are set. NAM east, RGEM/AI's most amped. Euro/GFS kinda inbetween
  6. Meh. One model model outside of its range. Need to see that with RGEM/GFS to make anything of it. Though technically the RGEM is still outside its range too. Gotta see the whole 12z suite including AI models.
  7. Most likely..6z looked a little warmish at the start but this is going to waffle a bit until go time I think
  8. Temps do look kinda borderline here. Better not fn rain after all this. Let's get the system a bit stronger for heavier rates
  9. I hope to experience a 96, 05, or 15 again. Though 05 is probably a 1 in a 100 year type season
  10. started at 22, now I'm 42. Crazy its been 20 years on these boards, even though I always felt like a newbie.
  11. Lets just get it close enough for some flakes during gametime
  12. ECMWF-AI looks better at 12z. lol At least, it throws back some more precip. Based on all the expert analysis in this thread, not buying it yet.
  13. Yikes.. well the AIs will be exposed this storm if they cave. They may need some more time.
  14. GFS OP is now the eastern outlier, slightly moreso than the Euro OP.
  15. The one big red flag is the EPS has been pretty steadfast for the past 3-4 runs of being mostly a miss. Need to see that change at 12z
  16. Gun to head, this trends slightly better at 12z giving EMA low end advisory. Speaking of GFS/Euro suite
  17. Euro is still 1-3" here. It had nada 12z yesterday. Still some room for this to inch a bit closer, given the AI guidance. I think some were subsconsciously locking in the big GFS runs.
  18. I still think a moderate event is possible. Big hits are gone though. Let's hope the AIs continue to stand pat
  19. EPS are so flat at 18z, gotta think those trend west at 0z given the other guidance
  20. That was a good move by the Euro. the outliers from 12z have moved towards each other at 18z
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