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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    Lets just get it close enough for some flakes during gametime
  2. SouthCoastMA
    ECMWF-AI looks better at 12z. lol At least, it throws back some more precip. Based on all the expert analysis in this thread, not buying it yet.
  3. SouthCoastMA
    Yikes.. well the AIs will be exposed this storm if they cave. They may need some more time.
  4. SouthCoastMA
    GFS OP is now the eastern outlier, slightly moreso than the Euro OP.
  5. SouthCoastMA
    The one big red flag is the EPS has been pretty steadfast for the past 3-4 runs of being mostly a miss. Need to see that change at 12z
  6. SouthCoastMA
    Gun to head, this trends slightly better at 12z giving EMA low end advisory. Speaking of GFS/Euro suite
  7. SouthCoastMA
    Euro is still 1-3" here. It had nada 12z yesterday. Still some room for this to inch a bit closer, given the AI guidance. I think some were subsconsciously locking in the big GFS runs.
  8. SouthCoastMA
    I still think a moderate event is possible. Big hits are gone though. Let's hope the AIs continue to stand pat
  9. SouthCoastMA
    EPS are so flat at 18z, gotta think those trend west at 0z given the other guidance
  10. SouthCoastMA
    That was a good move by the Euro. the outliers from 12z have moved towards each other at 18z
  11. SouthCoastMA
    I thought it looked slightly east, but not much difference
  12. SouthCoastMA
    18Z AIGFS actually looks slightly better than 12z
  13. SouthCoastMA
    For as much as I'd love that to verify, yes. For now at least with 0 support.
  14. SouthCoastMA
    Then you read wrong. Its not one or the other, but possibly a compromise. See the Euro AI/GFS AI/GEFS. I wouldn't put my eggs in either the GFS OP or Euro OP runs at 12z.
  15. SouthCoastMA
    Highly doubt it. enjoy your C-1" Saturday.
  16. SouthCoastMA
    Ride the AIs
  17. SouthCoastMA
    About as predictable as the sun rising. I would have taken slight improvement but of course it goes in the other direction
  18. SouthCoastMA
    AI was a slightly better than 6z, not by a ton though
  19. SouthCoastMA
    I like it but not buying it yet. fool me once
  20. SouthCoastMA
    GFSed again.. definitely the most amped out of all heavy rain to heavy snow here
  21. SouthCoastMA
    Yeah you are probably right. Maybe a few dumb ones who are not dormant
  22. SouthCoastMA
    might kill some ticks..other than that I can't think of anything
  23. SouthCoastMA
    It latched on to the storm fail on 1/15-1/16 before the GFS did. I guess that's not saying much
  24. SouthCoastMA
    For what exactly? Still looked like to me
  25. SouthCoastMA
    The 20th would have a colder antecedent airmass, so that would be preferable over the 18th anyway. Not that we have the luxury of preferences.
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