Like has been mentioned, if that FL/GA shortwave can slow down a bit or trend further west at 12z, the Saturday storm won't traverse halfway to Bermuda like the EPS has it doing.
No point in arguing about 6z. If 12z shows nothing or no improvement, then she likely dead aside from scattered flurries. If it's shows another small improvement, then we continue to watch.
I just saw 5 or 6 drones here on the Cape. look like stars but fluctuating in brightness and speed. then a few minutes later they were gone..and I heard and saw a jet flying by. hmmm
I recall 4-6" on the South Coast one Christmas morning in the early to mid 90s but can't recall which one.maybe Will knows. If I had to guess Dec 93 or 94?
that followup cyclogenesis (if real) after the chance on the 20th/21st would give a better chance to coastal folks. The first system looks like a HubbDave/Deep interior look with poor antecedent air mass
5 below average and 1 barely average winter here in last 6 years. I'll just take near average at this point, a few mid-range 4-7" storms to show the kids. Not asking for much.