SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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I feel like it's been 11 years since we've had a notable inverted trough down this way. Fraud five is well earned -
Thanks, I briefly glanced at 0z and yeah it did look slightly better than 18z. Waiting til 12z for another bump nw is fair; we wouldn't need a ton of improvement here.
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But we now we look forward to a few flakes very early Christmas morning, before changing to a nice cold steady rain for most of the day.
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It was more like yesterday's 18z brought it close enough for a COC tease and since then there have been no noticeable improvements in the 0z/6z runs. heavy precip develops too late/offshore. I didn't stay up
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The EC-AI hasnt flinched much, so if these trends hold then it would be a big win for Skynet
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Trust me. I want it to be real. But I need 2-3 consistent cycles of improvements to get invested again. We are within 96 hours so if that happens then I'm more than willing to get fully on board so that tomorrows 12z runs can again rip my beating heart out
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This has happened a couple times already though. If 0z keeps it up, then maybe
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I saw those posts last night and didn't get my hopes up. seasoned vets know, classic overnight model head fake
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Precip shield on nw side looks like crap on all models. Maybe I'll get lucky with a coating to an inch. Outer cape may get some OE snow showers late Sunday or Monday..so maybe something to watch for them
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The CMC (the good solution) is mostly rain here until the end. Like I said before, I'll just take some onshore flow and snow showers at this point.
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I think it's reasonable to track if one understands the odds of a decent hit are like <20%. But yeah, I get that I could also not be wasting my time and be doing something more productive.
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Let's get those SST's down so we can have a nice chilly spring at least!
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The vort coming down from Canada just vanishes and all energy goes to the weak low towards Bermuda. Fun solution
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Yea looks like dung at 84.. and trough looks flatter/more rounded. Guess we'll see in later panels
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Ridge out west looks more amped at 72h on GFS.
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Like has been mentioned, if that FL/GA shortwave can slow down a bit or trend further west at 12z, the Saturday storm won't traverse halfway to Bermuda like the EPS has it doing.
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Was just ribbing him, I don't doubt it.
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I saw a George001 sighting..maybe we can start firing up the B word soon
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The 6z would be a decent hit
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No point in arguing about 6z. If 12z shows nothing or no improvement, then she likely dead aside from scattered flurries. If it's shows another small improvement, then we continue to watch.
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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!
SouthCoastMA replied to FXWX's topic in New England
Models have it hitting a brick wall around RI and drying up -
inject that onshore flow on 21st into my veins, even with the GFS miss
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I'll take an inch or two..I know the greedier mfers inland want more though
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GFS gave you some CJ too, despite the miss. Edit: I'm a bit behind, already noted earlier.
