It's moot..in the unlikely case the heavier precip shield came further north..it would flip to snow. Who cares if it's light rain if we get a tenth of an inch of precip.
CMC is a good hit here around 60 hours.
So at 12z thus far it's the Icon/CMC vs GFS/NAM
Battle of the crap models..choose your dookie
Everyone north of say Taunton, try not to get triggered by this post
I think the 12z runs will be a good barometer if the bump is real, or just noise. If they are tick back east then we know our answer. We are still 60-72 hours out
In the past there would still be 1 or 2 models showing eye candy at this range, even if ultimately wrong. Now they just all agree on basically OTS. I'm all set hanging my hat on a few ensemble members