Seems like it's evolving into a weak coastal vs classic swfe. I wonder if that inhibits the upside of any front end dumpage. Still I'd take this over the alternative
It's possible any positive trends cease at 18z and we go the wrong way here on out. It wouldn't surprise me..but so far it seems like a moderate front thump is becoming more likely
It has been trending colder and less amped for a couple days now. So unless some are just referring to the seasonal trend..this storm has not been trending warmer.
That is 168hrs away. Looks like the block up near Greenland is building again..so I'm not sold on pure rain on that one. But even so, pattern looks good after