My 1/5 chance from two days ago is now like 1/20. You need the ridge/trough placements to be off by several hundreds of miles 5/6 days out. Pulling for a miracle but you probably need to see a lot more improvement by 12z today or it's ova
Radar does look interesting to the southwest. I also wonder if we start to get some of that cellular OES action on the Cape as the winds veer more northerly tonight.