SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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Yeah..I think if there was any inkling of this starting to come together..you'd have a few ensemble outliers trying to make it happen. Ah well, an easy system to never get too invested in anyway as it never made it past day 8 on models
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It's already 47° here. Sweet
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My 1/5 chance from two days ago is now like 1/20. You need the ridge/trough placements to be off by several hundreds of miles 5/6 days out. Pulling for a miracle but you probably need to see a lot more improvement by 12z today or it's ova
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D+/C-
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Because I'm bored, the 18z GFS ensembles for day 8 - a few hits, most notably a 956mb near Nantucket. Long shots obviously but fun to look at
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I give it a 1/5 shot. Not dead
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Cape sunrise this AM, before it all went to crap
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It's closer to the CMC than the GFS, I'll give ya that
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It's day 9 on one of the worst OP models. Not even worth spending 5 seconds on
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It's a real snoozefest on models, yikes. Hopefully we can squeeze a little excitement out of the latter half of March
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I'd take a March 14' but with that storm a bit closer. Hard to get excited about Spring this early unless I see something like March '12 in the cards
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tough outlook for ACATT. But doesn't mean we can't get lucky sometime in the next month
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Ill take Morch with a mid-late month bomb thrown in.
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another 1/2" fluff this morning..still slowly accumulating
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About 5" total
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RGEM has snow showers lingering along coast until 6 or 7am.
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Pounding now
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Radar does look interesting to the southwest. I also wonder if we start to get some of that cellular OES action on the Cape as the winds veer more northerly tonight.
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Maybe 2.25" since yesterday. Let's see if we can grab another 1-2" tonight
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Maybe a hair over 1". Congrats Chilmark
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Super heavy band about 5 miles south of me. Brutal
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Seems pretty north vs other guidance
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What does Jerry's magic 8 ball model (RPM) show for us?
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When one weenie walks back amounts, another weenie is there to fill the void.
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Euro is like 4-5" here but even that's tenuous.
