wegoweather

The video titled "Will we have a winter" and talks about warm moderation between the 10th through the 25th or 30th with potential for a favorable winter pattern returning early January? I get the jealousy from those whose following ends at anonymous posts on a bad facebook page and this website, but this thread is titled "Medium / Long Range Discussion". Wiithout BAM type posts all we have are zzzz with 384 Hr 2m surface temp screenshots and "Torch Incoming" posts.

Flipped back to snow at KDPA. We'll see what we get out of the last couple of hours.

Haven't gone back to look but I seem to remember some of the CAMs generally modeling where we sit currently (at least in the LOT CWA).

Looks like you can see it from ILX Radar.

With the amount of snow and the low ratios, compaction is going to really factor in. Would be interesting if someone had the time to run two snowboards and do an aggregate hourly and storm total measurements.

Small error in the LOT WSW text in regards to the counties.

Pavement accumulations have started again at KDPA. 1.5" slush storm total so far.

NAM back NW a bit and a little wamer for Chicago metro.

I wish I could get an old school Earl map to generate for this GFS run.

CMC has storm #2 take a right hand turn in Memphis and head for the Delmarva Peninsula eventually burying Baltimore to Boston.

And then take a look at temps on the back end of the storm. So far showing 3 days of widespread single digit to below zero temps.

Not even to 240hrs and there areas of 60+ inches north of STL in Illinois.

ummm....

That's just it, most here should have correct expectations, and due to the season so far the chance for something to track and discuss is what people here want. Many of the NWS offices have already mentioned it in AFDs and created graphics and posted on social media about the potential. The WPC has regular graphics that go out far enough for the potential. Social media has discussion by pro mets all over the place about the potential. But here we have gatekeeping forum theatrics.