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TugHillMatt

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Everything posted by TugHillMatt

  1. Yep. More amped and slowing the front/cold press down. Sweating bullets on the line...per usual anymore.
  2. I like that the "Top Analog" has a flatter look to it, and hope that this heads in that direciton as well.
  3. This incoming 0Z Nam run will be the start of what it's computing for Upstate New York. Getting closer...
  4. Eh, I think a dryslot will form overhead to limit the chance of hitting that 4 inches of sleet.
  5. Ugh. The fact that the Ensembles for both the GFS and Euro going well NW is killing me. Usually, the ops are NW and the ensembles SE. Can we just not have a NW track on a model or set?
  6. It has been painful here. Third consecutive crap winter in a row. It's going to take a HUGE comeback for us to get anywhere near normal.
  7. They tend to downplay things. Most of their discussion for this week was centered around rain and melting snow with a very quick/brief mention of snow possibilities in CNY.
  8. Just curious...why did you troll the New England guys during their entire storm? I mean, you do you...but I think it's caused you to lose lots of respect (whatever that means for online) and be on the verge of blacklisted...
  9. We try to avoid discussing/debating (plus it's not "permitted") climate change on subforums. It causes way too much "heated" bantering and division. The only part you're allowed to discuss is the THM effect.
  10. Speaking of which....there is always one model that shows it...every run...
  11. I try to hide in the background for a bit and somebody "mentions" me. I am glad to see my cynicism and blathering of the Tughillory Curse provide entertainment for our subforum.
  12. You can get them for free from the COD website. Still a bit too far NW for those outside of the BUF-ROC-ART corridor.(You can find all the individual ensembles as well.)
  13. So, it's either southern edge and get a few inches or it's northern edge and get a few inches. Got it.
  14. The systems this season...outside of Western NY, we need the ridge to flatten out a bit. The bands of snow have consistently been on a trajectory that tilts at a 45 degree or greater angle.
  15. Rarely does a system have that wide and long of a band of sleet. Skeptical. Let that Cold, dense air work its way into this system.
  16. Well, 3 to 5 inches would still be the biggest synoptic snowfall this area has seen this season........
  17. So, again...you're thinking 1st one is Buffalo to Watertown...2nd one is south of the NY/PA border...and this area is the screw zone?
  18. I think this will be our best shot in some time, as I agree that there's lots of cold air pressing down. I just can't allow myself to get too excited after the many letdowns.
  19. They haven't been... BUT there is always one model or set that is NW when it comes to us getting rain/ice or snow.... and that NW model or set always ends up verifying. When was the last time we actually had the southernmost model actually come to fruition in our favor???
  20. Love it...and that screwhole is NOT over the Sizzle...but rather Norwich or thereabouts.
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