Ugh. The fact that the Ensembles for both the GFS and Euro going well NW is killing me. Usually, the ops are NW and the ensembles SE. Can we just not have a NW track on a model or set?
They tend to downplay things. Most of their discussion for this week was centered around rain and melting snow with a very quick/brief mention of snow possibilities in CNY.
Just curious...why did you troll the New England guys during their entire storm? I mean, you do you...but I think it's caused you to lose lots of respect (whatever that means for online) and be on the verge of blacklisted...
We try to avoid discussing/debating (plus it's not "permitted") climate change on subforums. It causes way too much "heated" bantering and division. The only part you're allowed to discuss is the THM effect.
I try to hide in the background for a bit and somebody "mentions" me. I am glad to see my cynicism and blathering of the Tughillory Curse provide entertainment for our subforum.
You can get them for free from the COD website. Still a bit too far NW for those outside of the BUF-ROC-ART corridor.(You can find all the individual ensembles as well.)
The systems this season...outside of Western NY, we need the ridge to flatten out a bit. The bands of snow have consistently been on a trajectory that tilts at a 45 degree or greater angle.
I think this will be our best shot in some time, as I agree that there's lots of cold air pressing down. I just can't allow myself to get too excited after the many letdowns.
They haven't been... BUT there is always one model or set that is NW when it comes to us getting rain/ice or snow.... and that NW model or set always ends up verifying. When was the last time we actually had the southernmost model actually come to fruition in our favor???