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TugHillMatt

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Everything posted by TugHillMatt

  1. TugHillMatt
    Snow amounts come out the same though on both...which isn't always the case with the snow output on the sites.
  2. TugHillMatt
    Ukie looks beautiful for almost all of NY. Sorry, MJO.
  3. TugHillMatt
    Matching each other:
  4. TugHillMatt
    Yeah, they're the same model. It looks different on all 3 different site maps that have been posted. Like I said above, perhaps, Pivotal is showing "heavy snow" as sleet? Because the amount of snow pivotal shows us getting is nearly 20 inches 10:1.
  5. TugHillMatt
    Look beautiful, but not sure if that takes into account the mixture? Unless somehow heavy snow is being depicted as sleet?
  6. TugHillMatt
    Is it really realistic for Sooooooo much warm air mixed in there for all that mix and ice? My gosh.
  7. TugHillMatt
    Yup. It makes it up. OF COURSE. Just enough to be a PITA and then halts. This city has been cursed. I stay just north of the taint line the entire event though.
  8. TugHillMatt
    Whew. Sniffing the taint to get those higher amounts:
  9. TugHillMatt
    Actually that mix line would stay to the south of Syracuse on the Onondaga/Cortland county lines. Very similar look to GFS. Of course, I could see it easily poking it's head up here. But, verbatim, that's not "to the Cuse."
  10. TugHillMatt
    We either downslope if it's cold enough or we mix/rain because a warm nose pushes in. Both seem like a good possibility based on whatever track. Perhaps it's these SWFEs that are extremely frustrating for CNY.
  11. TugHillMatt
    Where are you seeing that?
  12. TugHillMatt
    I would love to see it continue a few more nudges SE for our friends in BGM, ALB. and the Catskills.
  13. TugHillMatt
    Yeah, I saw that one too, and it didn't even bother posting it. LOL. As soon as it got cold enough, a little dry pocket showed up. It's hilarious! lol
  14. TugHillMatt
    Oh, I know...It's just funny how there's ALWAYS a hole in this region on at least one model...and it is evident in the following runs still (just a little lesser amounts).
  15. TugHillMatt
    Seems weaker over CNY...and there's this... LOL
  16. TugHillMatt
    Yeah, it already has snow showing up by early Wednesday afternoon over the Niagara region.
  17. TugHillMatt
    0Z Rgem looks very close to its buddy the Ggem (from 12Z) so I don't think there will be much change with the next Canadian run.
  18. TugHillMatt
    I was comparing it to its 18Z run...not the Nam. But it is definitely much more SE than the Nam...and weaker. Sizzlecuse is the last place to change over north of the front, but whatever. Thinking the Nam looks way too amped here, and that it's more of a drawn out/possibly overrunning-type setup.
  19. TugHillMatt
    The Rgem looks a bit faster/further east with the front than it did at 18Z. We'll see if that continues by the end of this run.
  20. TugHillMatt
    I should, but I don't. I didn't think it would go on a 3rd year. lol
  21. TugHillMatt
    In Northern Onondaga county, it's about 130 to 135 inches. We're sitting at about 47 inches on the season. (As you can see on the table, Syracuse city is 10 inches lower.) Should be around 80 to 85 inches by this time in this part of the county.
  22. TugHillMatt
    The cold air has been so cold and dry, that lake effect has been minimal. The past two winters, we were too warm..now we're too cold. lol Then, the synoptic track...ugh. Great for Buffalo, Toronto, and Watertown. Southeast of there...meh. Plus, December was super snowless, so we started off extremely slowly. I am just dumbfounded by how awful the winters of recent have been in Syracuse relative to normal.
  23. TugHillMatt
    ...and with all the COLD we've had.... if it ends up rain...and then we cold again.... maddening.
  24. TugHillMatt
    Ha. I guess we'll see what the rest of the 0Z runs show. Nam could be doing it's normal Nam thing....BUT every time it shows us warm and rain it seems to be right. I know I'm supposed to be "positive" but at this point we've gotta look at every possible way we can get screwed, as "this is the way" here it seems anymore. Oh, and we KNOW BGM will be all over the Nam...
  25. TugHillMatt
    Heavy rain in Syracuse Thursday morning. Shoot me now.
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