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TugHillMatt

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Everything posted by TugHillMatt

  1. I see our new winters as being a 5 month extension of November.
  2. Oh, I agree it's a good call. The ELA teacher in me, combined with my sarcasm, just HAD to post a response to it. lol
  3. It's hard to trust a map where they can't even spell "call" correctly...
  4. We had a really sweet snow shower move through here around 5. It was coming down really hard. Picked up yet another coating (lol)...if it had been colder and the ground wasn't so warm from all the November weather we've had, we probably would have been close to an inch. Only 791 more coatings and I'll hit average.
  5. Upstate New York has been in the zone of too much warm air pushing up and now temporarily "too much" cold air pushing down. Maybe we can get some clippers in January? Too much to ask?
  6. Well, it looks like the bloody GFS was right. 18Z NAM going in that direction again...big time.
  7. BGM mentioned in their discussion earlier today that if lake effect sets up nicely over the Syracuse area tonight, we "could" get up to 4 inches. I know...reeeeeeeaaally low chance, but with some moisture present and lapse rates, there is the possibility. Heck, even wolfie reported thundersnow. But then again, he's on the edge of the land where a bear farts and it snows.
  8. Yup. In the 90s, it was one storm after another riding up the Apps and pounding all of the areas that have been getting synoptically screwed the past several years.
  9. It disgusts me that the GFS has been locked in for DAYS and many models are agreeing with it as we get closer.
  10. For the mean time, enjoy what little dusting you get tonight before it melts in the sunshine tomorrow.
  11. This is going to be a looooooong non-winter for the Great Lakes region, especially Upstate New York.
  12. If it happened like that...with the cutoff JUST to my south...heads will roll.
  13. I am hoping this is an trend that we will atleast get something. I am thinking we either get a dusting to an inch....or we get 3 to 6 inches (my call from a couple days ago)
  14. You know how you scoffed at me yesterday when I said this is the time to see things change as sampling is better? Hopefully this is the NW shift coming into play with that.
  15. Right on. Meh. I'm going to bed. Sleep well, Dave! (and everybody else!)
  16. That is when things are being sampled better by models.
  17. Looks like we could get could some multi-lake lake effect connections tomorrow night/Tuesday. Nothing major, but could provide at least a little bit of snowy sanity. Between 00Z runs and 12Z runs tomorrow is when we'll see any major shifts to the NW.....every other storm we don't want NW shifts, and it happens, creating cutter after cutter. Will we get screwed again with NO NW shift? Stay tuned.....
  18. Yup...checking out the 18Z NAM I need to go to the Mid Atlantic Panic Room or the New England Meltdown thread. Gosh, what awful winters.
  19. Seriously, Euro!!? Right when some of the other models start to go your way, you jump towards the GFS. Gaaaaaaahhhhh
  20. I think we'll see snow. It could just be a continuation of the "inch here or there that melts in a day" bull crap we're being accustomed to.
  21. LOL...Is there even science to weather anymore? Well, I'll be in northern Tennessee during that time...so lock it in for a White Christmas for me!
  22. Same! Hopefully our area could get 1 to 3 inches of lake effect snow tomorrow night and Tuesday just in case something changes with the mid week system.
  23. I love reading your posts! I could see this being a 3 to 6 inch event for many of us on here.
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