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TugHillMatt

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Everything posted by TugHillMatt

  1. TugHillMatt
    HRW models looking really bleak.
  2. TugHillMatt
    Everything is sooo close for us, so just a 25 to 50 mile difference in track can definitely lead to some surprises (good or bad).
  3. TugHillMatt
    I figured the models might go back a bit since the 12Z runs...but not this much.
  4. TugHillMatt
    HRRR definitely doesn't look as good for us. The secondary takes over faster. It just looks weaker in general. Meh.
  5. TugHillMatt
    These two comments are about as contradictory as the models But so is everything in the year 2020...
  6. TugHillMatt
    LOL! Same!
  7. TugHillMatt
    I noticed that. I wonder if this model thinks "Birmingham" is in New York state too.
  8. TugHillMatt
    They must plan on measuring at Rochester airport.
  9. TugHillMatt
    Lol....is the GFS going to score with its stubborness in not giving any snowfall to the Syracuse area? Still refusing to on 18Z runs...
  10. TugHillMatt
    What the 12Z giveth, the 18Z taketh away... My 3 to 6 inch call for the Cuse "may" work out.
  11. TugHillMatt
    Now the Euro and especially the GFS seem to be off on their own. Hmmmm
  12. TugHillMatt
    Graupel...
  13. TugHillMatt
    Yeah, I saw the GFS trolling us. lol
  14. TugHillMatt
    I have NOT given up on this system this week. I was close to after last night's 00Z runs...am happier with 12Z runs. Still have our covering our graupel snow from last night here...so it looks like winter!
  15. TugHillMatt
    Yeah, NAM is looking beautiful for much of us.
  16. TugHillMatt
    Nice! I grew up in Lancaster. They moved to Danville when I was in college. You guys are definitely due for a good storm there!
  17. TugHillMatt
    The OP GFS and Euro are being soooooo stubborn with this.
  18. TugHillMatt
    Wish I could be at my parents' house in Danville for this storm!
  19. TugHillMatt
    Yup. So maddening. Under nice banding all evening...and GRAUPEL.
  20. TugHillMatt
    It's all going to come down to tilt. The tracks that go more NE provide much more snow to NY state compared to the ENE tracks.
  21. TugHillMatt
    Can we have the 12Z run of the NAM back please? 00Z = meh.
  22. TugHillMatt
    Yep...the SREFs are our hope...lol
  23. TugHillMatt
    If only the SREFs could be right for once...
  24. TugHillMatt
    It's pounding under these bands...but it's a snow/graupel mix. It sounds like hail hitting the windows.
  25. TugHillMatt
    I know! I have been thinking the same thing! We finally get some lake influence and it HANGS above freezing.
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