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TugHillMatt

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Everything posted by TugHillMatt

  1. I keep telling myself I'm not going to look at the models tomorrow. I'll just drive myself crazy. Yeah...possibly some Upper Lake connection. Looks like Lake Huron.
  2. Wow, nice pics and videos! Looking through totals, it looks like many of you did great with this. Enjoy!
  3. Some of the 00Z runs are showing possibly 6 to 9 inches of LES across Onondaga county. I wouldn't be surprised to wake up to a Lake Effect Snow Advisory (Do those still exist?) or WWA for 3 to 6 inches with "possibly more in heavier bands" for the county. Still hesitant, as it's so easy to be burned by these events...but looks like one of our best shots so far this year for this localized region.
  4. Nah... Best month = 10 days away (infinity + beyond)
  5. 00Z NAM showing what I was talking about this afternoon...Thursday is looking very different now with possible overrunning of a mix changing to light snow as the cold air presses in. You can see the Atlantic Ridge scooting right off to the east.
  6. I am extremely skeptical of getting 4 to 5 inches of snow around here...I would love to get it, especially if the warm air for the second half of the week continues getting pushed down. It would be nice to have a snowpack. It seems there are some positive factors tomorrow night and Tuesday AM for lake effect around here.
  7. Hmmm...18Z GFS is trying to do what I was talking about earlier. Flatter look. We won't get any whopping amounts of snow, but we could end up getting 1 to 3 inch snow events with ice and rain mixed back and forth.
  8. Yeah, the models are trying to show cold air holding in east of the Finger Lakes. Western NY warms into the 40s, but CNY has the possibility of staying in the 30s, especially if an East wind funnels cold air in. This is all speculation, of course...but I could see the NE literally just squeezing in some wintry weather between the Atlantic ridge and the moderate cold trying to sink in.
  9. Seems like models are trying to show something for the end of the week/weekend other than rain. If we can get the Atlantic ridge to back off a bit and cold air to press in from the north, we could be looking at an overrunning type of situation. These overrunning patterns can pop up with little modeling showing them.
  10. I keep reading about how 'thank goodness this isn't the same as last year" as though it's a good thing. Last year, I had waaaay more snow and days with snowcover than this year. Yes, Christmas through January last year generally stunk...and they don't look much better this year....but so far, last year at least looked like winter much more than this one. Waiting a couple more weeks around here for good snowfall puts this winter as worse in the Central NY region.
  11. Some recent runs seem to be showing the LES setting up farther north and missing me again. I am trying sooooo hard not to whine this morning. Disheartened
  12. Same. Haven't even made it to a foot on the season. Two months down the dumper. LOTS of snow along the Lake Erie lakeshore on the drive home last night. I took it all in, as it may be the most snow on the ground I see all winter.
  13. Ha! I feel the same way when posters from other subs come to the Upstate NY Coronavirus/banter thread and spew their anger and toxicity all over the place. There is a difference between banter and ruining a topic discussion with your own drivel that none of your in-person friends want to hear.
  14. Congrats, Buffalo crew and wolfie. What a nice "welcome home" present for you in Pulaski!!!!@wolfie09
  15. I just have to accept this area gets the scraps of almost everything. The edges and scraps of coastal, cutters, and lake effect events. @Syrmax has mentioned it many times. Scrap city to 130 inches... Well, during a normal winter. On my way, home. Enjoy your snow now, boys....Matty Grinchmas is coming to town! Just going past Elizabethtown, KY now...and melting whatever teeny bits of snow along the way. Muwahahaha
  16. Perhaps I can get an inch or so from a rogue snow shower on Tuesday that will melt the next day.
  17. I was thinking that....with a low going through eastern PA, one would think we could do great with this potential system...but the cold air seems to be lacking soooo far NW of these lows.
  18. Fine. Give me a crap-load inches of sleet. It will look white and do a better job of surviving the next 50 degree cutter.
  19. I am in Clarksville, about 45 minutes NW of the Nashville burbs. Yeah, I agree. I haven't been able to make any phone calls today. Just Facetimed with family instead since the phones are down.
  20. I will be coming back from Tennessee tomorrow. Just let me know which part of Buffalo you guys need me to go through...
  21. Good discussion. Thanks for the response, @Syrmax.
  22. It legit wraps around us...passes to the south and then works north once to Oneida county.The Cuse bubble lives on.
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