TugHillMatt

Ha! Take away: You guys are golden!

Just a little bit of a difference between these two mesos...lol

The Nam 3k looks like it's trying to set up a nice WNW band of lake effect snow at the end of its run (60 hours.) I would love to experience my first lake enhanced/effect WNW band on the back of a synoptic system here. Those seem to be the situations where the Cuse cashes in.

Yay!!! The NAM has me over a foot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is this the right club?

It looks like once it makes it near the NY/PA border, the NAM shunts the mix to the east more than north.

Sttoooppp...No it's not! It's gonna snow 20 inches across all of Upstate!

Oh, ok. It's gonna snow 20 inches tomorrow and Tuesday. Yaaaaaaaay!!!! There. That better?

Dude. I am NOT pushing any agenda. Seriously, you need to relax now. EVERY single model has been shifting north and west today, with the exception of the Ukie. That's not an agenda.

Far, far, faaaaaaar away from me. That's my best advice.

Yeah, I was looking at the HRRR...brings mixed precip. way up to northern New England with a mix AND dry slot making it to Syracuse.

Is this the brother? Or the sister?

Yep. I'm not being "paranoid" or "negative" when I talk about the NW trend. It's been the theme of the season.

Ha! I, of course, am a "try to make the piles look as big as possible on both sides of the driveway" person. Like any "normal" person in everyday society really cares about that lol

lol...and I LOVE looking at peoples' driveway because I enjoy looking at the snow depths and clean-looking snow piles...it's interesting to see peoples' personalities in how they clean up snow. You've got the: 1) Perfectionists - clean cut, meticulous straight cuts through the snow. Pavement always showing 2) Quick shovelers - piles strewn all about the sides of the driveways collapsing into the driveway in places 3) The "Ain't nobody got time for that"ers - driveway covered with inches of snow with 100 tire tracks in and out and a car stuck halfway up the drive 4) The bitters - Their driveway is clean until about 3 feet from the end where they just bulldoze over the pile the plow left and they're too pissed to clean it up because the plow came AFTER they were done. It's a whole study in Psychology.

Me too. But that has been extremely rare this year.

I had a neighbor stop me during one of my Jebwalks around midnight about a month ago. Told me their "doorbell cameras" picked up on somebody "walking the neighborhood." I assured him I was just going for a walk and that I had no malicious intent. Now I am nervous about enjoying my peaceful nighttime Jebwalks because some paranoid neighbor takes me out or the cops are called on me. Times have changed.

Check out this difference between the Rap 6 hours ago and a more recent run. Continuing to trend stronger and northward.

As @rochesterdave said,, this winter is a'trollin. lol Heaviest banding does the splits over my area on several of the models, and now that ice line is working ever so closer.

STOP trending NW with every run. Gah. I can't believe a low that far south and east is creating this sort of questioning as to whether we mix or not in these parts. Should be a clean hit, but who knows.

Sure is! Another run that jackpots my area. I just don't like how close "the line" is to our area. Just a little more NW in real time and we skunk.

My specialty is this wherever I go:

Brutal.

I hate those. Oh, and rain is a curse word this week.

Ha! The Nam 3k. My least favorite weather model. Ever. It's like a bitter ex-friend that you can't shake off.