TugHillMatt

4 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

I don’t know how you always get a couple inches more than me even though you’re only 15 miles west of me?  I just measured 3.2 inches here and snowing lightly. The back edge is rapidly approaching from the west. 

It's been dumping all morning here. The models did show western Onondaga getting a couple more inches than Northeastern Onondaga. I disregarded it as them being dumb, but maybe there was some merit to that? I think you guys up there get skunked by downsloping since you're closer to the Tug. I also have noticed you seem to record less in Synoptic events.

1 hour ago, MAG5035 said:

Getting into what’s probably going to be the money band with this. Heavy snow and now 23ºF.

 

 

Nice. Looks like it set up right along the Ridgeline. Orographic effects?

9 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Yeah. This area doesn’t do great with these sliders. Skiing should be great. It’s the only time that more is not always better. Skiing in more than 6” gets tough. Gets pushed into enormous moguls that are tough to navigate. My favorite is the day after a snow, once they’ve groomed it

With just a light snow falling to put a fresh little layer on top. That's how I liked it when doing cross country skiing.

3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

About 2” at Brantingham. Snow ridge is reporting 4” at 7 am. That snow minima over Lewis county was for real…

Downsloping off the Dacks? I live on a hill. You should have come here and gone skiing at THM mountain. Working towards 6 inches. 

I just cleared off my wife's car (she has to work today...tax firm) and there was about 5 inches on it already. Ironically, it was one of the the fluffiest and easiest cleans of the winter. In March. Only a very tiny sliver on the bottom seemed wetter. The transition from wet snow to REAL snow must have happened quite quickly with the front. Beautiful out there!

2 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

4 inches of nice powder here so far

About the same here.

Interesting look on radar. As the main area of precip moves in from the South, there are little cells racing into it from the lake.

14 minutes ago, sferic said:

Cicero 12:20AM White rain

 

I'll take 4 inches as a win in this winter; anything more than that? Gravy

Moderate snow here with a thick covering. It's coming your way.

1 minute ago, rochesterdave said:

Just got up to Brantingham. 37f and cloudy. 6” would be a win!

How much pack is left?

2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Heavy snow 

Wow, when I looked on the Elmwood cam just 20 minutes ago it looked like a wet dusting on the grass. Now it looks all white.

Enjoy, Pittsburgh crew! The zone that has been getting screwed all winter...from you guys to up here in Syracuse and towards Burlington look to get the "jackpot" this time. It stinks that we get it in mid March and it will melt quickly...but hey, snow is snow.

Enjoy!

It looks like Niagara on the Lake already has snow (two inches?)  accumulating on everything but the roads.

Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario - Queen Street | BuffaloWebcam.com | Live Webcams from Buffalo, New York USA

Per usual, here in the stupid heatropolis of Sizzlesaharacuse the temp jumped about 5 degrees to 50 degrees the second the wind turned from the blistering South. The snow will be melting from beneath the whole time it falls. Then the rest of it will melt quickly as the crocuses come out when we overperform into the 60s next week.

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

And to think this whole time I was worried about it going NW and raining. NYC quickly getting in the game at this point. Yikes.

A NW shift? OF COURSE NOT. Not when we actually need it. Only happened EVERY OTHER TIME this stupid season. 

3 hours ago, TimB said:

Not convinced we’re getting 4 either but it is what it is. On to thunderstorm season, then months of it being 88 and miserably humid while Syracuse gets to 95.

You can have it. I find Syracuse to be absolutely ridiculous and a hell furnace of disgusting air that heats when an animal farts from one of the higher hills to the south.

Looks to me like the Syracuse area is going to get what I call the Syracuse Synoptic Six. 6 inches. Seems to be the maximum we can ever get from synoptic storms these days. So-so ending to an amazingly frustrating winter.

The Srefs came in better for CNY. Similar to GFS.

53 minutes ago, SyracuseStorm said:

I am tossing strictly based on the snow hole over Oneida Lake.  Even the NAM is in on the Northern Onondaga winter hoax.

Seriously. What is up with the stupid snow hole in Northern Onondaga county all winter?

54 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Ski industry would be destroyed if Matt is there. Just a smoking crater...

Tis true. Sledders ride more in the mud than snow on the Tughill these days.

9 minutes ago, Revracer800 said:

Jim Teske on channel 9 is saying 1-3 for my area, 3-6 for syracuse, 6-10 for the Tug Hill and the hills south of syracuse. I've seen so many different forecast i don't know WTF to believe lol.

He is THE most conservative meteorologist around here. Almost always below everybody else and forecast guidance. But, my guess is he was going with 12z runs for that and thus, his forecast would make sense.

2 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

Yeah I was wondering the same but winds are out of the N/NW, hard to downslope off the lake lol Models seem to not like that area for some reason though..

Yeah, they have been minimizing amounts there all winter. (Haven't been too wrong, I suppose! haha)

Waaaaay better. lol

12Z for its entire run:

18z for only up to 54 hrs. (So much better...lol. P.S. Check out the N. Syracuse Screw zone. Haha. Downsloping? Always something.):

There's gotta be a "Great Oz behind the curtain" playing with the controls.

18Z Nam looks way better than the 12Z trainwreck.

Lol. Well, I guess it's not a shutout. 

1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

How quickly things change..lol

"Hey, guys! There were decimal points at the beginning of those numbers! Sorry you couldn't see the fine print.'