TugHillMatt

Maybe a few of us can get some lake effect snow showers Monday night into Tuesday that could give us a dusting that sticks around in the deep shade for a couple days.

Hey, all. Just dropping a note to say how much I've enjoyed checking out your discussions the past month. There's been some really good stuff (other than a particular individual who constantly trolls and posts the same WARM discussion..). Anyways, it's been enjoyable following along with your thoughts on where the pattern might be heading and what's causing things to not go with what we would think they would be right now.

Yeah, it sat over the same area all last night. I was a bit surprised, as temperatures were extremely marginal. We had flizzarding here.

I could see those of us to the south of Lake Ontario maybe getting some lake snows if the system moves far enough north off the New England coast to bring NW or WNW flow.

Welp, the GFS finally folded. Another winter of watching synoptic snow to our south in between cutters?

Let's get that ridge to move east and build over Alaska, and then that colder air to slide down into the East for week 4.

Yes, good point. I was referring to mood levels. Even though chemically the sun may not help provide Vitamin D in winter, the lack of sun certainly affects daily attitudes. I do, indeed take the supplements! My Vitamin D levels were soooo low when I first moved here. The doctor was shocked by how low.

Fixed. The "American Dream" thinks only of one's self and not the sacrifice of other humans or natural resources. As is being discussed by others, one of components of the west coast being on fire and in drought season is because all the implants have drained the water supply. We consume, consume, consume.... and then move on.

We've averaged around 20 days of 90 degrees or higher the past couple summers. It's awful. Not close enough to the Lake to help moderate the temp.

Although our winters are getting milder, we still get the relentless cloud cover from the Great Lakes. I know multiple families that are moving OUT of the area and this is one thing every one of them has mentioned: the cloudiness. So now while we are milder, I find it even more depressing because there is a lack of snow to brighten up stick season and the brown-ness. That's why I call our winters "eternal November." 40s, 40s, rain, snow showers, melt the next day...maybe a week or two of consistent winter weather... 40s...WIND.... But, the cloud cover has a huge effect on people and I think is a large player on how long people can last living in an area. The lack of Vitamin D really gets to people. People may not like snow, but the extra brightness it can provide makes a difference.

There's 66 days between July and August? Is that part of the "new norm" these days?

It takes time for the atmosphere to respond. I don't think it will be soon enough for Christmas. They are in Sizzlecuse. 20 to 30 days a summer in the 90s seems to be the new norm. It is miserable. Already happening in the 'Cuse. All the Long Islanders are moving out here and all of these things are happening.

Coming to a few neighborhoods near you this winter...I've made it out alive multiple times this week.

Flurries flittering about in the wind as that lake effect band refuses to move south. 3rd consecutive night of trace amounts? Better hurry up, @rochesterdave... we're going to be way ahead of you with all these traces and dustings.. Although not getting heavy snow the past couple weeks, the Tug region has been wintry looking most of the time with reoccurring "couple inch" snowfalls and avoiding the sizzle to the south. The snowcover guy inside of me is jealous.

Good point. With the SE Ridge, there is only so far south it can go...It can certainly come farther north, but the fast Pacific flow may limit that movement as well. I am thinking tracks very similar to what happened last year (with PA getting the goods) are a very good possibility with a similar flow to last winter.

Well.... if you mean "us" as in the "toothless people" (as Syrmax puts it) then I would agree....the rest of us will sit and look at traces sitting on rooftops that melt in the sun in a couple minutes... My prediction is much of us will get an inch or two from either a dying wave or from the outskirts of low pressure whiffing to the east.

Or South...

You ready for the whiff to the east on Wednesday?

Temp 5 degrees above forecasted in the mid 40s...shocker, shocker...same thing every flipping day.

Hmmm, did they make changes to the Euro? It isn't usually pixelated like this and also seems more specific like a meso model than a general run.

lol...I know you're partially teasing...but I got away from SE Pennsylvania years ago in excitement to leave the bloody taint line...and it's just as bad here...just MORE times because of the increased "wintry" chances here compared to there!!!!!!!!!!!!

All this wind...is it March?

Looks like we might get a WNW lake event at some point this weekend that will melt the next day. Then maybe an I 95 storm Wednesday? lol