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TugHillMatt

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Everything posted by TugHillMatt

  1. Nice! I had a job interview AND offer in Gaylord years ago....and the wife said NO. "Too far north" for her. I love that area.
  2. Route 31 itself is usually in the snow game when they say things like that. If the bands aren't going to make it to 31 they usually just say little if any in Onondaga county. You will more commonly hear them refer to "north of the Thruway" as the snow line.
  3. Pssstt...Don't forget to bring the stash and make sure you're not being tailed...
  4. Looks like they're putting the Bville/Lysander area (in horribly pixelated map) in the 4 to 8 inch category...even more than Northern Oneida.
  5. Usually BUF is more aggressive with snowfall for the WNW flow areas...but this time BGM is. Can't they both ever agree?!? lol
  6. I'm surprised we STILL have some parking lot snow piles from our Pre-Thanksgiving lake effect event that have survived the torches here. Here's BGM's take on tonight. Hoping for that multi-lake connection. It can be a beautiful thing across Northern Onondaga.. Around 06z, the 925mb trough passes just east of Lake Ontario and the winds start to become slightly more west-northwesterly. This should start to push the band slight to the south and west leading to lake effect accumulations across southern Oneida, Madison, and Onondaga counties. At this point, BUFkit soundings show quite a bit of lift in the DGZ and this is matched fairly well with plenty of surface convergence and modest theta-e lapse rates reaching into the Souther Tier. The multi-lake influence becomes stronger as the fetch over the waters lengthens at this point. Lake effect snow should likely push well inland just before day break although accumulations look to be less than half an inch south of the Thruway. The forecast challenge is that the band looks to be fairly will supported dynamically and should have the potential to produce inch to inch and a half an hour rates overnight. Its just a question of how long does the band setup over any given area.
  7. Whew. Strong, gusty winds really kicked in here. I am guessing the cold front. Checked temps and it's down to the mid 40's...actually a pretty sharp drop. So, yes, cold is coming back for a bit!
  8. I'm actually pretty surprised by this. They must be putting the mesos into consideration, looking upstream, and seeing some variable wind directions.
  9. He and Syrmax love trolling with their warminista hearts...
  10. Looks like we made it to right what I was calling for. It might tick me off, but I think I've got our local climate down pretty well. lol
  11. Next week will be a great week for decorating the palm trees and hunting for local crocodiles!
  12. Sizzlecuse...per usual, on par with Long Island as the warmest in the state today.
  13. The NAM tends to be too far NW so I'm not sure if it'll be enough for us to get much. On Saturday, I called for 1 to 2 inches for mid week and am sticking to that call.
  14. I'm sure it will make the 5 degree jump right before the cold front comes through.
  15. The NAMS seem to be coming back around to a weak wave moving through on Wednesday now. Interesting...
  16. Most recent short term runs seem to suggest maybe more oscillating bands spreading the wealth for this area. Rap is farther south as well. We shall see.
  17. The Stupid Sizzle did it. Already up to like 50 degrees while everybody else is almost 5 to 10 degrees cooler. So that will ring in as two consecutively much warmer days. Never fails. On another note... mid 50s gusts in Dunkirk
  18. Delta at the top of the stands while everybody else is watching the game:
  19. Exactly. That's what I'm saying. I know you have posted pics already this year with well over a trace of snowfall. What you have seen is more than a whole bunch of others on here this season. That looks like 1.5 to 2 inches of snowfall just in that pic.
  20. Is that the site that is towards Richland? If so, I question those totals. If it's the spot closer to the lake, I could see that being true.
  21. Good reminder. I doubt Pulaski has the lowest of anyone here. You guys have had several snowfalls up there. Our friend along the lakeshore in Rochester probably has the lowest for this season so far.
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