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TugHillMatt

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Everything posted by TugHillMatt

  1. TugHillMatt
    I suppose that's not too surprising considering the warm waters and maritime influence.
  2. TugHillMatt
    Yup. Models may be starting to correct to a bit more of a wintry pattern. Lots of minor chances and thread-the-needle situations. If we get the deep troughs or cold (like 12Z GFS is showing) it could lead to suppression city. But it would at least provide cold for lake effect opportunities and perhaps some clippers.
  3. TugHillMatt
    We don't want that either. Suppression city. Funny how it STILL shows rain along the coast even with that cold. Could just be errors...
  4. TugHillMatt
    Canadian and GFS are both trying to shove the low farther south in more of a zonal flow. It is the best option we can have in this sucky pattern. 1 to 3 inches of slush before it gets shredded. "Could" provide for a "white" Christmas for parts of PA.
  5. TugHillMatt
    Yes, it seems like regardless of any other indices, we end up in the same crap air mass and environment.
  6. TugHillMatt
    ? It's offering a potential white Christmas to the northern half of PA.
  7. TugHillMatt
    Exactly. Yes. Lol In all seriousness, my answer is obvious for me. Consistent snowfalls with deepening snowpack is my kind of winter. I love big snowfalls, but if they melt a few days later that is depressing to me. So, really, Syracuse in a "NORMAL" winter would be great...as it's nickel and dime city here. But the awful winter patterns have allowed maybe an inch that melts the next day.
  8. TugHillMatt
    Yes to both.
  9. TugHillMatt
    Yes...we all know you had an amazingly white Christmas eve/Christmas last year. I would love to read @rochesterdave's thoughts on this....
  10. TugHillMatt
    The 12Z GFS is probably the best option we could hope for if we want a "White" Christmas. Front end snow with a change to rain showers. We already know if it's a strong system, it will cut...just keep it flat and move from West to EAST (none of this NE movement crap)....give us our 1 to 3 inches of slush...and fizzle away as it gets shredded.
  11. TugHillMatt
    I assume the fast Pacific flow is involved with this rapid movement and inability to slow down and fully develop?
  12. TugHillMatt
    Pretty much all the models look like another boring waste of a winter week coming up. I suppose for the Lake Ontario crew we can hope the Rgem is sniffing out some LES.
  13. TugHillMatt
    Did Bville make it into that band?
  14. TugHillMatt
    One would think that a low in that place would pull some cold air down from Canada, but it looks like the cold is closed off. Junk airmass. I can understand the frustration for you eastern New Englanders if that happens.
  15. TugHillMatt
    Exactly. He will tumble down instead. You're drunk, Nicolas. Go home.
  16. TugHillMatt
    LOL... literally for like 10 seconds. You forgot one element:
  17. TugHillMatt
    Models look to be increasing our chances a bit of perhaps some lake effect snows on Thursday. It could give us an outside chance of a white Christmas eve and Christmas morning. Speaking of Christmas morning, the GFS and Canadian are working on it... (I will be in PA starting Friday, so your chances are already increased for something in NY.)
  18. TugHillMatt
    We don't...but a couple individuals who love to chatter and antagonize (from other subforums and Off-Topic) decided they didn't like our non-weather-related discussion. One of them, a moderator, decided to take it upon oneself to control what is discussed...and started deleting posts and giving warnings. I believe Luke got one? Not sure who else. No, the furnace came two days earlier when we hit 67 degrees. lol
  19. TugHillMatt
    There you are! I was honestly wondering if you were still alive. Head to the Keewenaw Peninsula of Upper Michigan. You'll be on the good side of the increasing amount of disgusting cutters, still have good latitude, AND have elevation (stay away from Houghton for that)....and have almost constant snowpack for 5 to 6 months... I would move there in a heartbeat if the wife agreed.
  20. TugHillMatt
    Definitely Worth, in extreme Southeast Jefferson County.
  21. TugHillMatt
    Unfortunately I'm not on the Tug Hill...only made it a year there because the economy is struggling there..especially with the fading winters ruining the winter sports industry there. I'm in the northwest Syracuse burbs, where we average 130 inches, but haven't gotten anywhere near that the past several winters. Mild and maritime has been the rule with the ugly Pacific. Lake effect snow has been almost non-existent. My wife and the many people here who seem to hate snow are loving it.
  22. TugHillMatt
    Lancaster is perfect then. I remember many winters in Willow Street/Millersville of mild, mild, mild... 3 to 6 inches of snow, then some sleet, then rain. Melts within 3 days...mild, mild, mild... maybe half frozen ponds for a few days and the Amish trying to skate on the ice covered parts... Dry, gusty NW winds while watching a snow cloud vanish as it works its way in from Harrisburg...
  23. TugHillMatt
    You and I are opposites. I want snow every day...but my wife refuses. ha!
  24. TugHillMatt
    I enjoy frequenting this forum. Not only because of my PA roots, but you're a pleasant, friendly group. I often talk about this and, of course, Upstate NY's being my favorites. I find it amusing that Voyager hates the cold, when in reality, it's been lots of months of torching. He really should move to NC, SC, or Florida.
  25. TugHillMatt
    If you don't feel like stabbing a pencil in your eye, go read BGM's latest forecast discussion. You'll feel the urge afterwards.
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