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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. There's a range of temps at which dendrites grow (which create very high ratio snows). Ideally you want the area of greatest lift, to fall within this zone to get dendrites. On tropical tidbits, the orange bars on the left tell you how much lift there is at that level.
  2. I don't have any expectations so it's kinda fun. It's like my team's down 2 touchdowns with a minute left. Might as well see what happens
  3. The great lakes low kills it, but the trough is a little deeper This time around, so there's that
  4. Finally, a mythical unicorn storm like the unicorn storms of old. I would say probably just due to the tendency of the Euro to spin up deep lows out of nowhere. The trough is digging like crazy, the only way this thing works:
  5. It got suppressed, which isn't such a bad thing, but not an especially cold airmass.
  6. Whats that old reliable wives tail again? 10 days from thunder in the winter means more thunder? Seems about right.
  7. It appears to be making progress. Almost to Greensboro.
  8. Yeah, and there's a chance it won't push north lessening the severe threat. Kinda interesting how the precip is back-building along the front
  9. The 6z models backed off a bit on rain totals. 2-4" has been a good forecast for a day or two now and still seems reasonable, although I wouldn't be surprised to see 6"+ somewhere
  10. Hey, a satisfying heavy rain event is better than a disappointing snow bust in my book.
  11. The +AO is the gift that keeps on giving, the whole winter through.
  12. Someone's getting blasted, as of now, we're in the cross hairs.
  13. The saddest of mangled flakes mixing in South Greensboro
  14. Maybe we'll see a flake or two in the Triad. If only precip arrived a few hours earlier...
  15. 13% of winter's since 1920 in Greensboro have featured less than an inch of snow. I think we'll get there, but at this point I would be happy with anything at all.
  16. This winter has made me excited for the line of heavy rain to come through tommorow night. That's how much it's sucked.
  17. It's fascinating, Wikipedia says they used to get ocassional lake effect snow (once per decade or so) but since the lake's disapearance in 1965, they have not received any snowfall
  18. I just want something to track. Is that too much to ask? That's the fun part anyway.
  19. Well it certainly helps to not be blinded by the inevitable November optimism.
  20. Temps are running a couple degrees below the forecast high today. Could definitely see some slick spots tommorow morning
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