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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Anyone have the 6z Euro? Looks decent at H5
  2. olafminesaw
    I wouldn't shocked to see a double maxima, one over the western Piedmont, where banding develops and where temps are better intially. Over the eastern Piedmont could stay pretty dry waiting for the transfer and rates will have a hard time overcoming temps of 34-36 initially. And of course closer to the coast will fair better, with 3"+ for NE NC
  3. olafminesaw
  4. olafminesaw
    Better still
  5. olafminesaw
    RGEM is meh. Close to something decent though
  6. olafminesaw
    Main takeaway:
  7. olafminesaw
    Big improvement on the NAM through hour 60. Seems they NAM likes to over-amplify at this range though, so tog be taken with a grain rain of salt
  8. olafminesaw
  9. olafminesaw
    Me too. I just know that one day, it'll be "the big one". It's kinda my Moby Dick. When I was a kid DC seemed to rarely get more than 6" or so of snow. Then magical 09-10 hit when I was in middle school. I had no idea 2-3 feet of snow was possible, let alone two storms of that magnitude in a single winter. It was like being transported to another planet, and ever since, I've craved that same feeling to happen again
  10. olafminesaw
    It's been a long couple of days since that absolutely bonkers GFS run. Always disappointing when a high ceiling event falls through, even knowing how unlikely a high impact event was in reality
  11. olafminesaw
    Elizabeth City's record of 9.2" for the month of January seems to be within reach
  12. olafminesaw
  13. olafminesaw
    CMC Looks much like the GFS so far
  14. olafminesaw
    What a monster weenie run for Boston. Holy cow
  15. olafminesaw
    My best understanding is we need a weaker Northern stream and earlier phasing with the Southern stream, correct?
  16. olafminesaw
    The RGEM wasn't exactly perfect with our last storm. It was definitely over-amped for the majority of it's runs
  17. olafminesaw
    RGEM is real close to a solution that work well for most. I think no matter what happens NE NC will fair the best
  18. olafminesaw
    I know you're kidding around, but any big wrapped up low that passes close to the coast, they worry about mixing. Small changes in track can have huge differences in totals, especially for areas right near the water. The cape can get nothing and just inland can get 12"+.
  19. olafminesaw
    Yep. It's easy to forget how far East of us New England is. Boston is about the same distance East of Greensboro as it is North. (400+ miles)
  20. olafminesaw
    Seems to be not quite as good as the GFS at that hour, but better than the Euro
  21. olafminesaw
  22. olafminesaw
    Starting to get that look
  23. olafminesaw
  24. olafminesaw
    Fair enough. I'm a bit out of my depth with regards to Climo here, having lived in NC for only 3.5 years. The look of a Miller A for DC is way different than for North Carolina so it takes some getting used to (it's not like we've gotten many the past few years)
  25. olafminesaw
    A better run, but continues to show more of a cold chasing moisture kind of setup (we all know how these tend to work out). The west trend can only help us so much, with the phase happening to our NE. I think the ceiling for many is a 3-6" type deal, with the exception of possibly SE VA
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